Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x96ce…9c25
sports · 479 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,302 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,297 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$1,297
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses244 / 225
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$59
Open positions10
Markets (closed)469 / 479
History coverage35d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day31.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 10 History 469 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$77
7 days−$1,130
14 days−$1,566
30 days−$1,175
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 60¢ 58¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 52¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 3¢ 3¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-10%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers 46¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 8¢ 2¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-76%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? No 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod win on 2026-05-11? Yes 90¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? No 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-05? No 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Yes 88¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 56¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu Yuta Shimizu 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $2 +$2 +152%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$11 +103%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $200 +$17 +8%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $111 +$15 +13%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$2 -30%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,012 +$54 +5%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 +$3 +58%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 −$2 -34%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $3 +$1 +32%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $10 +$3 +32%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 −$5 -90%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +36%
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 10 $3 +$3 +109%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 −$1 -27%
Nigeria leading at halftime? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open (Doubles): Auger-Aliassime/Shapovalov vs Nouza/Oberleitner Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Argentina leading at halftime? Jun 10 $20 +$11 +53%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 10 $5 +$4 +79%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Belarus vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? Jun 09 $3 +$8 +266%
Exact Score: Azerbaijan 2 - 1 San Marino? Jun 09 $5 +$4 +71%
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Exact Score: Russia 3 - 0 Trinidad and Tobago? Jun 09 $5 +$18 +344%
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +68%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 +$3 +134%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 −$8 -80%
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$1 -40%
Hungary leading at halftime? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 +$3 +59%
Spain leading at halftime? Jun 09 $7 +$4 +57%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 08 $3 −$2 -98%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
Netherlands leading at halftime? Jun 08 $5 +$3 +59%
France leading at halftime? Jun 08 $10 $0 -2%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 +$1 +52%
Kosovo leading at halftime? Jun 07 $3 +$2 +62%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $10 −$7 -68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$430
sports 37% −$796
crypto 9% −$99
politics 5% −$13
world 3% +$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 1m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 2m
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 60¢ $10 4m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 84¢ $16 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 30¢ $5 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $217 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Under 39¢ $2 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 92¢ $200 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 21¢ $4 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $123 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 81¢ $101 18h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 18h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 65¢ $10 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 18h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 46¢ $2 24h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 52¢ $5 24h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 51¢ $5 24h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $2 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,066 24h
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 40¢ $3 25h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 46¢ $8 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 95¢ $1,001 25h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 20¢ $3 25h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 26h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 26h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 67¢ $3 29h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 37¢ $1 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -11.8% -20.2% 44% 41% -31.5%
≤30d 451 -4.6% -13.7% 53% 44% -14.1%
≤90d 469 -5.2% -14.2% 52% 43% -14.5%
all 469 -5.2% -14.2% 52% 43% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 43% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 33% -22.7%
15% -29.9% 23% -30.2%
20% -36.8% 17% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.82 · official $51.82 (match) · 1194 history records