Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x96cb…0279
crypto · 37 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$30 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$94 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$94
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses27 / 9
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)36 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day78.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$94
7 days−$94
14 days−$94
30 days−$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$7 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$4 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$9 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $66 −$33 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$16 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$12 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $61 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$24 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$11 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$6 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $99 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$94
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -7.6% -16.4% 75% 14% -12.6%
≤30d 36 -7.6% -16.4% 75% 14% -12.6%
≤90d 36 -7.6% -16.4% 75% 14% -12.6%
all 36 -7.6% -16.4% 75% 14% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 14% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 11% -21.0%
15% -31.7% 3% -28.6%
20% -38.4% 0% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.67 · official $1.67 (match) · 127 history records