Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:55:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x96c8…44bb
other · 59 markets active 2h ago
1.5score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses26 / 33
Open positions0
Markets (closed)59 / 59
History coverage467d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $22 $0 -1%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 13 $34 $0 +0%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 13 $37 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 12 $15 −$1 -4%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $36 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 08 $34 +$1 +2%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 07 $34 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 06 $73 $0 +0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 06 $1 $0 +3%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 05 $34 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 05 $37 $0 +0%
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025? Aug 10 $23 $0 +0%
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? Jul 11 $15 $0 -2%
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jul 11 $11 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? Jul 11 $26 $0 +0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb Jul 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year? Jul 11 $9 $0 +0%
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Jul 10 $11 $0 +0%
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jul 10 $7 −$1 -9%
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? Jul 10 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 10 $12 $0 +0%
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Jul 10 $12 $0 +1%
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? Jul 09 $21 $0 +0%
Will Trump deport less than 250,000? Jul 09 $15 $0 -0%
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Jul 09 $15 $0 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 08 $15 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 08 $15 $0 +0%
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 08 $15 $0 +0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? Jul 08 $15 $0 +0%
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jul 07 $15 $0 -1%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Jul 07 $15 $0 -0%
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? Jul 07 $15 $0 +0%
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Jul 06 $15 $0 +0%
Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jul 06 $15 $0 -0%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Jul 06 $15 $0 +0%
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? Jul 06 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 04 $11 $0 +0%
Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jul 02 $15 $0 +1%
Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025? Jul 01 $15 $0 -0%
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4? Jul 01 $14 $0 +1%
Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Jun 24 $15 $0 +0%
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025? Jun 06 $15 $0 +0%
Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? Jun 05 $16 $0 +3%
Will Meta buy TikTok? Apr 09 $16 $0 +0%
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? Apr 08 $2 $0 +0%
Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 Masters? Apr 08 $16 $0 +0%
Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 Apr 07 $16 $0 +0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? Apr 04 $5 $0 +1%
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days? Apr 03 $15 $0 +1%
Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel? Apr 02 $16 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 36% +$2
world 29% $0
politics 18% $0
tech 8% $0
culture 3% $0
economics 3% $0
weather 2% −$1
sports 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 78¢ $22 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 79¢ $22 3h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 63¢ $34 6h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 63¢ $34 10h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 96¢ $37 14h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 96¢ $37 16h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL No 21¢ $14 30h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY No 22¢ $15 32h
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $21 4d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $14 4d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $34 4d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 4d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 4d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 4d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 4d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 66¢ $34 4d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 65¢ $34 5d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 54¢ $29 6d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 54¢ $5 6d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 54¢ $1 6d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 54¢ $33 6d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 95¢ $34 7d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 95¢ $15 7d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 95¢ $19 7d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 7d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 7d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 96¢ $12 7d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 96¢ $25 7d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 96¢ $37 7d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $34 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -0.6% -10.1% 43% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 11 -0.0% -9.5% 55% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 11 -0.0% -9.5% 55% 0% -9.5%
all 59 +0.1% -9.4% 44% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 178 history records