trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +40.9% | +27.5% | 50% | 50% | +118.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +40.9% | +27.5% | 50% | 50% | +118.7% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +43.7% | +30.0% | 25% | 25% | +14.2% |
| all | 24 | +55.2% | +40.4% | 38% | 33% | +46.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +40.4% | 33% | +46.9% |
| 10% | +27.0% | 29% | +32.8% |
| 15% | +14.7% | 21% | +20.0% |
| 20% | +3.5% | 17% | +8.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 34¢ | 14¢ | $20 | $9 | −$11 (-57%) |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 8¢ | 14¢ | $2 | $3 | +$1 (+59%) |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 14¢ | 2¢ | $17 | $3 | −$14 (-82%) |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 10¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-89%) |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 6¢ | 2¢ | $3 | $1 | −$2 (-67%) |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-35%) |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 13¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-95%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $31 | $0 | −$31 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $41 | +$60 | +147% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -65% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 08 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Apr 07 | $1 | +$27 | +2723% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 10? | Apr 07 | $48 | +$14 | +28% |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Apr 07 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | Apr 05 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Khamenei seen in public by February 28? | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Apr 05 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Apr 05 | $24 | −$10 | -40% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Mar 21 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| US downs another Iranian drone by February 28? | Mar 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Mar 21 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Mar 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-02? | Mar 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 1? | Mar 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | Mar 10 | $1 | $0 | +26% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Mar 10 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-02? | Mar 02 | $3 | +$1 | +38% |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 2? | Feb 28 | $20 | +$75 | +376% |