Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x96be…69a9
crypto · 768 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$485 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$502 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$502
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses385 / 382
Open positions1
Markets (closed)767 / 768
History coverage19d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day154.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 767 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$408
7 days−$631
14 days−$1,015
30 days−$502
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 20¢ 32¢ $18 $29 +$11 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $74 +$64 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $95 −$90 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$52 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$17 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$32 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$15 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$11 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$10 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$9 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$13 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $17 +$31 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$13 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$8 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$491
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $34 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $32 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $131 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $32 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $31 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $32 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $32 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $31 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $9 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $21 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $21 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $17 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $14 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $40 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $39 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $29 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $48 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $31 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $6 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $11 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 188 +0.1% -9.4% 46% 39% -33.3%
≤30d 767 +0.3% -9.3% 50% 43% -14.6%
≤90d 767 +0.3% -9.3% 50% 43% -14.6%
all 767 +0.3% -9.3% 50% 43% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover154.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 43% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 35% -22.8%
15% -25.9% 26% -30.2%
20% -33.1% 19% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.56 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records