Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:35:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x96a0…67da
other · 8 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$3 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)5 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 3 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$4 +109%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 82% +$4
crypto 18% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $30 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $4 9m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $4 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $4 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -14.4% -22.6% 60% 40% +9.3%
≤30d 5 -14.4% -22.6% 60% 40% +9.3%
≤90d 5 -14.4% -22.6% 60% 40% +9.3%
all 5 -14.4% -22.6% 60% 40% +9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.6% 40% +9.3%
10% -30.0% 20% -1.2%
15% -36.8% 20% -10.7%
20% -43.0% 20% -19.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.72 · official $37.72 (match) · 14 history records