Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:28:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x969f…cbdc
sports · 117 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$236 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,155 · open −$2,112
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,402
Realized−$1,155
Unrealized−$2,112
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses29 / 49
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$1,851
Open positions41
Markets (closed)78 / 117
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,292
Trades / day2921.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 41 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,155
7 days−$1,155
14 days−$1,155
30 days−$1,155
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner G2 Esports 74¢ 100¢ $523 $705 +$182 (+35%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner LOS 89¢ 100¢ $600 $674 +$74 (+12%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Ilbirs eSports 32¢ 100¢ $106 $333 +$227 (+214%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 66¢ 100¢ $190 $290 +$100 (+53%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Bebop 65¢ 100¢ $138 $211 +$73 (+53%)
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Washed 70¢ 50¢ $274 $197 −$77 (-28%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 16¢ 22¢ $133 $190 +$57 (+43%)
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs The Last Resort 82¢ 100¢ $154 $187 +$34 (+22%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner KOLESIE 66¢ 100¢ $121 $183 +$62 (+51%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Solary 85¢ 100¢ $148 $173 +$25 (+17%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Team Heretics Academy 77¢ 100¢ $132 $171 +$39 (+29%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs XLG Gaming 67¢ 28¢ $348 $143 −$204 (-59%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage KOLESIE 87¢ 75¢ $148 $128 −$20 (-14%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 8¢ 7¢ $148 $122 −$26 (-18%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 11¢ 12¢ $108 $121 +$13 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs MASONIC 52¢ 50¢ $124 $118 −$6 (-5%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Team Heretics Academy 49¢ 100¢ $51 $103 +$52 (+103%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 29¢ 14¢ $181 $85 −$96 (-53%)
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner Misa Esports 87¢ 100¢ $65 $75 +$10 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs STATE 62¢ 72¢ $55 $63 +$9 (+16%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 74¢ 32¢ $133 $56 −$76 (-58%)
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Noir Verse 25¢ 40¢ $21 $33 +$12 (+60%)
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner BALU 39¢ 19¢ $34 $17 −$18 (-51%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 39¢ 72¢ $6 $12 +$5 (+86%)
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse - Map 1 Winner aimclub 89¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $242 −$39 -16%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $460 −$23 -5%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $197 −$34 -17%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,259 −$117 -9%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $150 +$52 +34%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,151 −$210 -18%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3,663 −$371 -10%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $264 −$15 -6%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 3 Winner Jun 13 $152 −$147 -97%
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $241 −$37 -16%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $2,187 +$140 +6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4,616 −$248 -5%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $159 +$17 +11%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $203 −$6 -3%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $223 +$48 +22%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $284 +$11 +4%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4,290 −$746 -17%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2,193 −$17 -1%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $235 −$74 -31%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,910 +$246 +13%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3,174 +$349 +11%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $205 −$95 -46%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $512 +$238 +46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4,550 +$337 +7%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $373 −$99 -26%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2,741 +$65 +2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3,340 +$110 +3%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $2,978 +$203 +7%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $36 −$26 -72%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $39 −$17 -44%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $7,453 −$296 -4%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $6,661 −$49 -1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,790 −$239 -13%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $242 +$7 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,198 −$326 -27%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $153 −$22 -14%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $592 −$2 -0%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $356 −$17 -5%
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Gatorian - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $126 +$50 +40%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $7,973 +$369 +5%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $220 +$6 +3%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5,470 +$159 +3%
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Gatorian - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $231 −$23 -10%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $334 +$31 +9%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $5,617 −$149 -3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $7,404 +$377 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$3,220
other 0% −$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 74¢ $4 0m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 73¢ $7 0m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 74¢ $69 0m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 39¢ $6 0m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 66¢ $46 0m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 68¢ $36 0m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 54¢ $12 0m
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner BUY BALU 39¢ $34 0m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY MASONIC 52¢ $73 1m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY MASONIC 52¢ $51 1m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 68¢ $240 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 66¢ $344 2m
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY MASQ 20¢ $3 2m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 13¢ $18 3m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 27¢ $95 3m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 27¢ $53 3m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 65¢ $31 4m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 65¢ $264 4m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 64¢ $15 4m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 37¢ $97 4m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 53¢ $158 5m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 55¢ $11 5m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 46¢ $9 5m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 47¢ $72 5m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 73¢ $51 6m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 73¢ $66 6m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 73¢ $51 6m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY KOLESIE 87¢ $103 7m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY KOLESIE 87¢ $149 7m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY KOLESIE 87¢ $4 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-26.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -18.5% -26.2% 37% 19% -10.5%
≤30d 78 -18.5% -26.2% 37% 19% -10.5%
≤90d 78 -18.5% -26.2% 37% 19% -10.5%
all 78 -18.5% -26.2% 37% 19% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2921.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.2% 19% -10.5%
10% -33.3% 8% -19.1%
15% ← realistic here -39.7% 3% -26.9%
20% -45.7% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,402.14 · official $4,410.41 (match) · 3500 history records