Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x969f…4d55
other · 243 markets active 14h ago
0.0score
−$87,517 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85,788 · open +$128
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$62,679
Realized−$85,788
Unrealized+$128
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses131 / 149
Whale WR (big bets)66%
Open positions111
Markets (closed)280 / 243
Avg bet$1,377
Trades / day439.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 111 History 280 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,672
7 days−$85,788
14 days−$85,788
30 days−$85,788
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June? No 91¢ 86¢ $18,069 $17,172 −$896 (-5%)
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June? No 95¢ 85¢ $9,303 $8,335 −$968 (-10%)
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 Week of June 8 2026? No 84¢ 100¢ $3,240 $3,847 +$607 (+19%)
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of June 8 2026? No 80¢ 95¢ $2,245 $2,673 +$428 (+19%)
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $102 in June? No 93¢ 94¢ $2,570 $2,602 +$32 (+1%)
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of June? No 64¢ 88¢ $1,853 $2,550 +$696 (+38%)
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $96 in June? No 94¢ 94¢ $2,306 $2,308 +$2 (+0%)
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Yes 45¢ 64¢ $1,532 $2,200 +$668 (+44%)
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June? No 58¢ 36¢ $3,484 $2,138 −$1,346 (-39%)
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 8 above $290? Yes 88¢ 97¢ $1,773 $1,957 +$184 (+10%)
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in June? No 86¢ 96¢ $1,634 $1,818 +$184 (+11%)
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 in June? No 85¢ 81¢ $1,155 $1,111 −$44 (-4%)
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in June? No 69¢ 57¢ $1,246 $1,032 −$214 (-17%)
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 Week of June 8 2026? No 85¢ 100¢ $791 $925 +$135 (+17%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June? No 75¢ 91¢ $703 $849 +$146 (+21%)
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in June? No 61¢ 74¢ $703 $847 +$144 (+20%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June? Yes 25¢ 26¢ $832 $838 +$6 (+1%)
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 in June? No 89¢ 90¢ $725 $738 +$12 (+2%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June? Yes 49¢ 43¢ $844 $736 −$108 (-13%)
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 in June? No 85¢ 88¢ $691 $714 +$23 (+3%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of June 8 2026? No 93¢ 99¢ $642 $686 +$45 (+7%)
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 in June? No 71¢ 96¢ $428 $577 +$149 (+35%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 8 above $210? No 85¢ 78¢ $489 $450 −$40 (-8%)
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in June? No 65¢ 80¢ $318 $395 +$77 (+24%)
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in June? No 91¢ 98¢ $347 $372 +$25 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Meta (META) close above $620 on June 5? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $305-$310 on the final day of trading of th Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026 Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? Jun 12 $1 +$1,250 +214023%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 28? Jun 12 $37 −$36 -98%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $245? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of May 25 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Meta (META) close at $610-$620 on the final day of trading of the Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of May 25 2 Jun 12 $7 −$6 -89%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 12 $26 −$16 -62%
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 27? Jun 12 $170 −$200 -118%
Will Meta (META) close at $630-$640 on the final day of trading of the Jun 12 $49 −$106 -217%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $300-$305 on the final day of trading of th Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on June 2? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of May 25 Jun 12 $64 +$245 +379%
Will Meta (META) close at $590-$600 on the final day of trading of the Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on May 29? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Meta (META) close above $640 on June 2? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 12 $30 +$25 +84%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 12 $1,458 −$1,284 -88%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 25 2026? Jun 12 $27 −$18 -65%
Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 27? Jun 12 $61 −$6 -9%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in May? Jun 12 $34 +$34 +98%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of May 25 2026? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $102 in May? Jun 12 $12 +$12 +100%
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 28? Jun 12 $58 +$377 +652%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May? Jun 12 $347 −$347 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 29? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $650 Week of May 25 2026? Jun 12 $15 +$92 +598%
Will Meta (META) finish week of June 1 above $680? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 28? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27? Jun 12 $35 +$56 +158%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 29? Jun 12 $63 +$84 +133%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of th Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Meta (META) close above $610 on June 2? Jun 12 $18 −$21 -118%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May? Jun 12 $150 +$1,007 +673%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 25 above $139? Jun 12 $201 −$203 -101%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on June 4? Jun 12 $9 −$8 -88%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 25 above $210? Jun 12 $1 +$34 +5010%
Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 28? Jun 12 $29 −$27 -93%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of May 25 2026? Jun 12 $2 +$19 +1242%
Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 29? Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 1 above $320? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 in May? Jun 12 $38 +$517 +1370%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27? Jun 12 $67 +$57 +85%
Will Meta (META) finish week of May 25 above $670? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 29? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of May 25 2026? Jun 12 $124 −$119 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
tech 43% −$94,553
finance 35% +$16,225
other 22% +$2,950
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY No 36¢ $2 14h
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on June 11? BUY No 24¢ $3 14h
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on June 11? BUY No 47¢ $192 14h
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on June 11? BUY Yes 56¢ $328 14h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 90¢ $2 14h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 93¢ $3 14h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 14h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 11? BUY Yes 39¢ $7 14h
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on June 12? BUY No 11¢ $8 14h
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on June 11? BUY No 45¢ $14 14h
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in June? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 14h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 11? BUY No 28¢ $1 14h
Will Meta (META) close above $570 on June 11? BUY No 46¢ $5 14h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 11? BUY No 51¢ $5 14h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $120 in June? BUY No 62¢ $43 14h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 83¢ $5 14h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 83¢ $122 14h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 84¢ $504 14h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 84¢ $499 14h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 84¢ $5 14h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 86¢ $516 14h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in June? BUY No 40¢ $103 14h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? BUY Yes 34¢ $17 14h
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 37¢ $36 14h
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in June? BUY No 39¢ $38 14h
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in June? BUY No 49¢ $3 14h
Will Meta (META) close above $570 on June 11? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 15h
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY Yes 60¢ $122 15h
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 15h
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $97.50 Week of June 8 2 BUY Yes 25¢ $26 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)+81.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 280 +100.7% +81.6% 47% 37% -35.2%
≤30d 280 +100.7% +81.6% 47% 37% -35.2%
≤90d 280 +100.7% +81.6% 47% 37% -35.2%
all 280 +100.7% +81.6% 47% 37% -35.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover439.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +81.6% 37% -35.2%
10% +64.2% 29% -41.4%
15% ← realistic here +48.3% 26% -47.1%
20% +33.8% 22% -52.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62,678.91 · official $62,678.69 (match) · 3500 history records