Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:46:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
96 0x9699…3d3c crypto 146 markets active 4d ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (129 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$5 (+1%) realized +$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate47%67W / 76L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day129.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$40
sports 3% +$17
other 1% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (129 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 142 -1.7% -11.0% 47% 45% -10.6%
≤30d 143 -2.4% -11.7% 47% 45% -10.7%
≤90d 143 -2.4% -11.7% 47% 45% -10.7%
all 143 -2.4% -11.7% 47% 45% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover129.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 45% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 44% -19.2%
15% -27.8% 42% -27.0%
20% -34.9% 39% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×1.1 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses67 / 76
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)143 / 146
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day129.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 143 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $4 +$4 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -57%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $4 +$8 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY 43¢ $8 3d
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL 98¢ $8 3d
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 47¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 3d
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY 14¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 444 history records