trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.6% | -8.9% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| all | 20 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 75% | 20% | -7.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.4% | 20% | -7.5% |
| 10% | -17.2% | 20% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -25.2% | 20% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 15% | -31.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026? | Jun 01 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30? | Apr 30 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | Apr 29 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026? | Apr 29 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026? | Apr 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? | Mar 30 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Mar 29 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025? | Dec 30 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia? | Dec 29 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Dec 26 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market | Dec 24 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 5AM ET | Dec 20 | $1 | +$1 | +96% |
| >3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30? | Dec 11 | $1 | +$1 | +138% |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Mi | Nov 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bill Ackman say "Election" during the X Space event on November 1 | Nov 26 | $1 | +$1 | +138% |
| Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings? | Nov 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November | Nov 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season? | Nov 13 | $5 | +$2 | +47% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $270? | Nov 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |