Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:42:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x9696…0861
other · 56 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$871 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$850 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$213
Realized−$850
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses18 / 44
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Open positions6
Markets (closed)62 / 56
History coverage11d
Avg bet$655
Trades / day303.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 6 History 62 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$549
7 days−$1,382
14 days−$850
30 days−$850
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 78¢ 78¢ $68 $69 +$0 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 9¢ 10¢ $43 $53 +$10 (+23%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? No 56¢ 60¢ $49 $52 +$3 (+6%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 15¢ 18¢ $23 $27 +$5 (+21%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 8¢ 2¢ $36 $10 −$25 (-71%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-54%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? No 6¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? No 8¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? Jun 12 $21 −$106 -504%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $2 +$17 +829%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? Jun 12 $13 −$48 -372%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$91 -17247%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $30 +$54 +181%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? Jun 12 $48 −$68 -144%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? Jun 12 $86 −$195 -227%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? Jun 12 $3 −$36 -1047%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? Jun 12 $8 −$59 -726%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? Jun 12 $14 −$9 -66%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 12 $24 −$55 -233%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $38 +$9 +23%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $821 +$56 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $857 −$3 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $671 +$51 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $89 −$3 -3%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $14 +$2 +15%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $4 $0 +10%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 11 $6 −$1 -15%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $435 −$45 -10%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $677 +$24 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $577 +$104 +18%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $71 +$6 +9%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $88 −$58 -66%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $2,806 −$155 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $2,444 +$38 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $366 −$29 -8%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 08 $131 −$57 -44%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $727 −$108 -15%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $1,965 −$31 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $2,325 +$105 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 07 $86 +$7 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 07 $10 −$8 -73%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 07 $308 −$35 -11%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $216 −$54 -25%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 06 $124 −$20 -16%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $1,811 −$326 -18%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $1,915 −$49 -3%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $103 −$15 -15%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 05 $133 −$93 -70%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 05 $64 −$34 -53%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $2,937 −$45 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $3,369 −$21 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $1,016 −$94 -9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $378 −$39 -10%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 04 $43 −$17 -39%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 03 $562 +$52 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $1,138 −$57 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $2,412 +$120 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$245
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 78¢ $68 4m
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $3 56m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $15 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 23¢ $26 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 31¢ $32 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 31¢ $36 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $18 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 29¢ $18 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 30¢ $22 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 27¢ $32 4h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $6 4h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 4h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $3 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $11 4h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 17¢ $6 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 21¢ $1 5h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 19¢ $13 5h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 19¢ $10 5h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $3 5h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $9 5h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 17¢ $22 5h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $23 5h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $4 5h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $1 5h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $1 5h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $13 5h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $8 5h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 21¢ $30 5h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $18 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-22.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -11.0% -19.5% 30% 12% -13.1%
≤30d 62 -14.6% -22.8% 29% 13% -10.1%
≤90d 62 -14.6% -22.8% 29% 13% -10.1%
all 62 -14.6% -22.8% 29% 13% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover303.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.8% 13% -10.1%
10% -30.2% 8% -18.7%
15% ← realistic here -36.9% 6% -26.6%
20% -43.1% 5% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $213.25 · official $213.25 (match) · 3500 history records