Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:41:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
96 0x968a…3841 sports 145 markets active 3d ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (131 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$100 (+0%) realized +$100 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +31% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +1% what you keep after slip
Net edge+1%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate43%63W / 82L
Whale WR63%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$520per market
Trades / day131.3pace
Fees−$2,003est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$157
14 days−$983
30 days−$1,487
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$1,487
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (131 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)+18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -29.9% -36.6% 33% 30% -10.6%
≤30d 145 +30.6% +18.2% 43% 30% -11.4%
≤90d 145 +30.6% +18.2% 43% 30% -11.4%
all 145 +30.6% +18.2% 43% 30% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover131.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +18.2% 30% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here +6.9% 17% -19.9%
15% -3.4% 12% -27.6%
20% -12.9% 11% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +31% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 63% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +76% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
10.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$53 vs −$59 · ×0.9 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$100
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses63 / 82
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$2,003
Open positions0
Markets (closed)145 / 145
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$520
Trades / day131.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 145 Trades
no open positions (61 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $315 −$27 -8%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $261 −$35 -14%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $23 +$30 +127%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $81 −$31 -38%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $82 −$14 -17%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $153 +$30 +20%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $212 −$5 -2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $89 −$15 -16%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $862 −$288 -33%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $367 +$106 +29%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,429 −$69 -5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $64 −$18 -28%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $243 −$11 -4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $323 −$13 -4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $461 +$28 +6%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $86 −$6 -6%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $636 +$109 +17%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -91%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $204 −$6 -3%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $619 −$58 -9%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $152 −$14 -9%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $827 −$57 -7%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $619 +$30 +5%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $109 +$56 +52%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $148 +$72 +49%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $237 +$58 +24%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $781 −$100 -13%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $79 −$30 -38%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $181 −$29 -16%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $109 +$56 +52%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $477 −$46 -10%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $97 −$12 -12%
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $798 −$12 -2%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,212 −$32 -3%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $147 −$8 -6%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1,074 −$87 -8%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $11 +$8 +73%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $24 −$8 -32%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $334 +$26 +8%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,524 +$44 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $422 +$4 +1%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $220 +$41 +18%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $35 +$4 +11%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $4 −$2 -36%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $841 +$72 +9%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $1,832 +$21 +1%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,006 −$121 -12%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $36 −$36 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 41¢ $21 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 35¢ $4 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 41¢ $5 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 57¢ $41 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 58¢ $42 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 38¢ $42 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 42¢ $24 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 44¢ $24 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 41¢ $10 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 43¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 43¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 43¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 43¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 43¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 55¢ $38 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 57¢ $39 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 62¢ $47 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $7 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $19 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $20 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 40¢ $19 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 39¢ $19 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 58¢ $10 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 50¢ $9 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 47¢ $29 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $26 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $5 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 41¢ $22 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 45¢ $24 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records