Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x968a…4ec8
crypto · 96 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$591 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$563 · open +$28
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$127
Realized+$563
Unrealized+$28
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses70 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)87%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)93 / 96
Avg bet$259
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$581
7 days+$581
14 days+$581
30 days+$581
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 68¢ 98¢ $70 $101 +$31 (+44%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 60¢ 52¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-14%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 68¢ 48¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-29%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) Bilibili Gaming 70¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3) PSG Talon 66¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $293 −$17 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $280 −$10 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $283 +$19 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $271 +$22 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $504 +$62 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $357 −$76 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $508 +$38 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $554 +$41 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $360 +$88 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $514 +$42 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $413 +$39 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $401 +$14 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $484 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $411 +$176 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $385 −$38 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $378 −$139 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $410 +$44 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $327 +$153 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $659 −$384 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $614 +$20 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $610 +$41 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $612 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $333 −$12 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $496 +$24 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $389 +$138 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $451 +$14 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $289 +$148 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $736 −$475 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $518 +$32 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $699 +$63 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $203 +$21 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $601 +$15 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $649 +$19 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $453 +$124 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $407 +$99 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $268 −$194 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $536 +$89 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $248 −$248 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $368 +$154 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $212 +$29 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $504 +$64 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $440 +$20 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $157 +$29 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $267 +$37 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $379 +$16 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $379 +$42 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$612
sports 0% −$19
other 0% $0
finance 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $51 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $101 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $21 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $101 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $57 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $52 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $50 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $51 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 68¢ $10 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $101 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 +2.1% -7.6% 78% 41% -7.4%
≤30d 85 +2.1% -7.6% 78% 41% -7.4%
≤90d 85 +2.1% -7.6% 78% 41% -7.4%
all 93 -0.1% -9.6% 75% 41% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 41% -7.5%
10% -18.3% 24% -16.3%
15% -26.2% 14% -24.4%
20% -33.4% 5% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $126.76 · official $96.98 · 598 history records