Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x9680…dc32
other · 138 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$7 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses18 / 120
Open positions0
Markets (closed)138 / 138
History coverage151d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 0 History 138 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 31 $48 $0 -0%
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 23 $42 $0 -0%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? May 15 $46 $0 -1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru Feb 15 $106 $0 -0%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Feb 15 $92 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? Feb 15 $120 $0 -0%
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? Feb 15 $45 $0 +0%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Feb 15 $48 $0 -0%
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Feb 15 $48 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Feb 15 $50 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Feb 15 $161 $0 -0%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Feb 15 $108 $0 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Feb 15 $204 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Feb 15 $87 $0 -0%
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? Feb 15 $124 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 15 $54 $0 -0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 15 $76 $0 -0%
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Feb 15 $118 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Feb 15 $8 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? Feb 15 $150 $0 -0%
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Feb 15 $1 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Feb 15 $68 $0 +0%
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Feb 15 $88 −$1 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Feb 15 $300 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 15 $68 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Feb 13 $157 $0 -0%
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Feb 13 $152 $0 -0%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 13 $96 $0 -0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Februa Feb 13 $54 $0 -0%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Feb 13 $51 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Feb 13 $55 $0 -0%
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Feb 13 $15 $0 -0%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Feb 13 $127 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 13 $109 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 13 $169 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Feb 13 $90 $0 +0%
Will France win Eurovision 2026? Feb 13 $93 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Feb 09 $71 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? Feb 09 $106 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? Feb 09 $51 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Feb 09 $49 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Feb 09 $108 $0 -0%
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? Feb 09 $108 $0 -0%
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? Feb 09 $3 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Feb 09 $50 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Feb 09 $50 $0 -0%
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Feb 09 $168 $0 +0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Feb Feb 09 $55 +$1 +1%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Feb 09 $113 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 25% −$2
sports 25% −$2
politics 15% −$1
crypto 15% −$1
economics 9% −$1
tech 5% $0
culture 3% $0
world 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 97¢ $50 2h
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 97¢ $50 6h
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $48 12d
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $48 12d
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open? SELL No 98¢ $42 20d
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY No 98¢ $42 20d
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? SELL No 93¢ $46 27d
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? BUY No 93¢ $46 28d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru SELL Yes 98¢ $52 116d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru BUY Yes 98¢ $52 116d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 94¢ $46 116d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 94¢ $46 116d
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? SELL No 97¢ $49 116d
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? BUY No 97¢ $49 116d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru SELL Yes 98¢ $54 116d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru BUY Yes 98¢ $54 116d
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $45 116d
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $45 116d
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $48 116d
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $48 116d
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? SELL No 96¢ $48 116d
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? BUY No 96¢ $48 116d
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? SELL No 97¢ $50 116d
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? BUY No 97¢ $50 116d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 94¢ $46 116d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 94¢ $46 116d
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? SELL Yes 96¢ $50 116d
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? BUY Yes 96¢ $50 116d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 91¢ $51 116d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 91¢ $51 116d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +0.1% -9.5% 100% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 4 -0.3% -9.8% 25% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 4 -0.3% -9.8% 25% 0% -9.8%
all 138 -0.1% -9.6% 13% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 493 history records