Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:26:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x967d…ddd4
crypto · 315 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$842 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$962 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$141
Realized−$962
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses193 / 120
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions2
Markets (closed)313 / 315
History coverage72d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 2 History 313 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$113
7 days−$464
14 days−$790
30 days−$920
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
EU dissolves before 2027? No 97¢ 97¢ $87 $87 +$0 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 89¢ 92¢ $52 $54 +$2 (+4%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 38¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 9? Up 18¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 14 $50 −$13 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$58 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$16 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$41 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$13 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$21 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$8 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$20 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$7 +16%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 13 $55 −$10 -18%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 12 $57 −$56 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $117 −$116 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$12 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$12 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$39 -68%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $41 −$32 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 12 $88 +$1 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $205 −$45 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $110 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $37 +$9 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $66 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $23 −$23 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$16 -52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% −$736
other 25% +$86
world 5% −$4
sports 4% −$306
tech 1% +$1
weather 0% +$1
economics 0% $0
culture 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
EU dissolves before 2027? BUY No 97¢ $87 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 91¢ $23 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $29 1h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 68¢ $37 9h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 91¢ $21 24h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 91¢ $29 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $63 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $6 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $36 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $31 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $103 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $22 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $31 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $52 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $17 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $26 26h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 32¢ $59 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $52 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $31 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $101 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $24 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $21 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 -7.3% -16.2% 72% 33% -18.4%
≤30d 217 -7.8% -16.6% 64% 30% -17.3%
≤90d 313 -4.3% -13.4% 62% 33% -15.9%
all 313 -4.3% -13.4% 62% 33% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 33% -15.9%
10% -21.7% 23% -23.9%
15% -29.3% 19% -31.3%
20% -36.2% 14% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $140.69 · official $140.69 (match) · 932 history records