Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:11:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x9663…5b70
sports · 650 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,032 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,684 · open −$652
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$777
Realized+$2,684
Unrealized−$652
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses261 / 372
Est. fees paid−$382
Open positions18
Markets (closed)633 / 650
History coverage29d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day97.7
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 18 History 633 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$547
7 days−$1,006
14 days−$13
30 days+$2,684
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Bangladesh 46¢ 46¢ $301 $299 −$1 (-0%)
Will Racing 92 win? No 67¢ 62¢ $249 $232 −$17 (-7%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand West Indies 31¢ 12¢ $171 $68 −$103 (-60%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Lorenzo Sonego 59¢ 60¢ $51 $52 +$1 (+2%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Netherlands 27¢ 30¢ $23 $26 +$2 (+9%)
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-23? Yes 78¢ 61¢ $28 $22 −$6 (-22%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 44¢ 38¢ $18 $16 −$2 (-12%)
Will Exeter Chiefs win? No 70¢ 2¢ $453 $16 −$437 (-97%)
CD Concepción vs. CD Limache: O/U 5.5 Over 5¢ 6¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+30%)
Will Club Aurora win on 2026-05-08? Yes 18¢ 26¢ $7 $9 +$3 (+42%)
Will the match end in a draw? No 93¢ 99¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+6%)
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Universidad de Concepción: O/U 5.5 Over 6¢ 6¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Nikoloz Basilashvili 39¢ 40¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Universidad de Concepción: O/U 0.5 Under 4¢ 6¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+38%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Under 4¢ 5¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+15%)
IR Tanger vs. US Yacoub El Mansour: O/U 0.5 Under 7¢ 10¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+36%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 22¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Will the match end in a draw? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-31%)
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 5.5 Over 3¢ 3¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Afghanistan 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa South Africa 20¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $2 +$26 +1521%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $25 +$65 +263%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Brazil Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Thailand Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Cattolica (Doubles): Forti/Ricca vs Grevelius/Heinonen Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Dundalk FC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Northampton Saints win? Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann Jun 13 $73 −$73 -100%
Will Chiefs win? Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 13 $121 −$121 -100%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 13 $126 −$126 -100%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 13 $153 −$153 -100%
Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji Jun 13 $120 −$120 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $147 −$147 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $40 +$52 +129%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $27 −$27 -98%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $14 +$11 +76%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $39 +$39 +101%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Caijsa Hennemann vs Julia Avdeeva Jun 13 $23 $0 -1%
Will Leicester Tigers win? Jun 13 $290 +$137 +47%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $22 +$3 +16%
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $2 +$26 +1290%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $199 +$61 +30%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $54 +$69 +129%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $36 +$26 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% +$1,711
other 17% +$443
politics 6% +$165
world 1% −$218
crypto 0% −$81
weather 0% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 27¢ $3 28m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 27¢ $11 54m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 27¢ $7 1h
Will Racing 92 win? BUY No 67¢ $28 1h
Will Racing 92 win? BUY No 67¢ $28 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 61¢ $0 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 61¢ $4 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 39¢ $6 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva SELL Alicia Dudeney 100¢ $89 1h
Will Racing 92 win? BUY No 67¢ $12 1h
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 3¢ $0 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 58¢ $17 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 60¢ $20 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 59¢ $1 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 58¢ $8 1h
Will Racing 92 win? BUY No 67¢ $6 1h
Will Racing 92 win? BUY No 67¢ $24 1h
Will the match end in a draw? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 1h
Will Racing 92 win? BUY No 67¢ $28 1h
Will Racing 92 win? BUY No 67¢ $28 1h
Will Racing 92 win? BUY No 67¢ $28 1h
Will Racing 92 win? BUY No 67¢ $28 1h
Will Racing 92 win? BUY No 67¢ $12 1h
Will Racing 92 win? BUY No 67¢ $28 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 35¢ $2 3h
Will Exeter Chiefs win? BUY No 71¢ $30 5h
Will Exeter Chiefs win? BUY No 71¢ $30 5h
Will Exeter Chiefs win? BUY No 71¢ $30 5h
Will Exeter Chiefs win? BUY No 71¢ $30 5h
Will Exeter Chiefs win? BUY No 71¢ $30 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 192 -20.8% -28.4% 31% 30% -23.5%
≤30d 633 +1.7% -8.0% 41% 39% -1.7%
≤90d 633 +1.7% -8.0% 41% 39% -1.7%
all 633 +1.7% -8.0% 41% 39% -1.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover97.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 39% -1.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 37% -11.1%
15% -24.8% 34% -19.7%
20% -32.2% 30% -27.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $777.29 · official $777.29 (match) · 3500 history records