Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:17:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x965f…50de
other · 305 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$429 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$341 · open +$87
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,318
Realized+$341
Unrealized+$87
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses155 / 73
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions83
Markets (closed)228 / 305
History coverage71d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day46.1
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit31%
Chart Positions 83 History 228 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$19
14 days+$33
30 days+$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $734 $732 −$2 (-0%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 91¢ 92¢ $97 $98 +$1 (+1%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 62¢ 77¢ $51 $64 +$13 (+25%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No 84¢ 99¢ $43 $50 +$8 (+18%)
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? No 98¢ 100¢ $49 $50 +$1 (+1%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? No 72¢ 99¢ $36 $50 +$13 (+37%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $49 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No 66¢ 98¢ $33 $49 +$16 (+48%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No 93¢ 92¢ $49 $48 −$1 (-2%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? No 87¢ 98¢ $42 $48 +$5 (+13%)
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No 84¢ 90¢ $43 $45 +$3 (+7%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No 81¢ 93¢ $39 $45 +$6 (+15%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No 91¢ 87¢ $45 $43 −$2 (-4%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 80¢ 85¢ $40 $42 +$2 (+6%)
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No 90¢ 94¢ $39 $41 +$2 (+4%)
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No 91¢ 91¢ $38 $38 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No 87¢ 94¢ $35 $38 +$3 (+8%)
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 95¢ 98¢ $36 $37 +$1 (+3%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 82¢ 92¢ $29 $32 +$4 (+12%)
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No 92¢ 98¢ $28 $30 +$2 (+6%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? No 98¢ 100¢ $29 $30 +$1 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? No 96¢ 99¢ $26 $27 +$1 (+3%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 98¢ 100¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+2%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? No 99¢ 100¢ $24 $24 +$0 (+1%)
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 90¢ 90¢ $22 $22 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $52 +$17 +33%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $85 −$7 -8%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -63%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -49%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $87 +$1 +1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet Jun 10 $61 +$4 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +46%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $5 −$4 -76%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $23 +$12 +51%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $8 −$8 -99%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Jun 09 $46 +$3 +6%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? Jun 08 $9 +$1 +16%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? Jun 08 $25 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? Jun 06 $2 $0 +4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May? Jun 02 $53 +$4 +8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? Jun 02 $37 +$13 +35%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? Jun 01 $5 −$3 -65%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -92%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 01 $50 −$4 -7%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 01 $42 −$1 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? Jun 01 $14 −$4 -31%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? Jun 01 $4 −$3 -87%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May? Jun 01 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Solana reach $120 in May? Jun 01 $2 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $130 in May? Jun 01 $3 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? Jun 01 $47 +$3 +7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May? Jun 01 $5 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? Jun 01 $50 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $100 in May? Jun 01 $2 +$1 +29%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? Jun 01 $42 +$7 +16%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? Jun 01 $74 +$11 +15%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? Jun 01 $12 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? Jun 01 $12 +$2 +13%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? Jun 01 $24 +$1 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? Jun 01 $50 +$1 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? Jun 01 $22 +$3 +12%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? Jun 01 $3 $0 +2%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May? May 30 $19 +$1 +6%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May? May 30 $1 $0 +4%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May? May 30 $20 +$1 +4%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in May? May 30 $20 $0 +2%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in May? May 30 $20 +$1 +3%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May? May 30 $17 +$3 +16%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May? May 30 $3 $0 +3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in May? May 30 $1 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 30 $15 −$6 -40%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 30 $24 +$2 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 30 $7 +$1 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 84% +$190
crypto 7% +$142
finance 6% +$86
economics 1% +$25
tech 1% −$14
world 1% +$1
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 0m
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 26m
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 34m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $4 44m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $4 44m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $1 47m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 52m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 54m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 59m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $4 59m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $4 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $3 1h
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June? SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $3 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $4 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -10.0% -18.6% 69% 25% -5.4%
≤30d 113 -1.9% -11.2% 69% 19% -9.0%
≤90d 228 +2.5% -7.3% 68% 18% -7.5%
all 228 +2.5% -7.3% 68% 18% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 18% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 11% -16.4%
15% -24.3% 6% -24.4%
20% -31.7% 3% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,318.01 · official $2,318.01 (match) · 3500 history records