Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:51:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
96 0x9658…3087 crypto 601 markets active 1h ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 24d only
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$542 (+13%) realized +$542 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate47%285W / 316L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day55.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$17
14 days+$41
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 146 -8.0% -16.8% 47% 43% -11.0%
≤30d 601 -7.9% -16.7% 47% 42% -10.2%
≤90d 601 -7.9% -16.7% 47% 42% -10.2%
all 601 -7.9% -16.7% 47% 42% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 42% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 37% -18.8%
15% -31.9% 32% -26.6%
20% -38.6% 22% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×1.08 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$542
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses285 / 316
Open positions0
Markets (closed)601 / 601
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day55.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 601 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$12 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$6 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$2 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$1 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$8 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +104%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$12 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +71%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$5 -55%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$4 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$6 -65%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$5 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records