trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 11% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 21 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 10% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $978 | $977 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $46 | $46 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | Jun 26 | $975 | −$1 | -0% |
| Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? | Jun 26 | $967 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | May 21 | $50 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | May 21 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close | May 21 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 18 | $916 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec | May 18 | $903 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 18 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 17 | $858 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? | May 17 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 16 | $869 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15? | May 16 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | May 15 | $840 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 15 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 15 | $859 | −$5 | -1% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | Mar 29 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29? | Mar 29 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Mar 24 | $126 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 24 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 24 | $29 | $0 | -0% |