Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:56:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x9632…a379
sports · 625 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$799 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$773 · open −$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$935
Realized−$773
Unrealized−$24
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses436 / 156
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$70
Open positions33
Markets (closed)592 / 625
History coverage189d
Avg bet$283
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 33 History 592 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$183
7 days−$91
14 days−$1,007
30 days−$1,003
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Over 28¢ 46¢ $49 $78 +$29 (+60%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $55 $54 −$1 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 Over 31¢ 48¢ $35 $54 +$19 (+53%)
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Knicks 66¢ 66¢ $49 $49 +$0 (+1%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $50 $48 −$2 (-4%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 Over 24¢ 38¢ $28 $44 +$16 (+59%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Over 23¢ 40¢ $25 $43 +$18 (+72%)
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Spurs 51¢ 42¢ $49 $41 −$8 (-17%)
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 82¢ $20 $38 +$18 (+91%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 Over 22¢ 34¢ $23 $36 +$13 (+57%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 100¢ $10 $34 +$25 (+257%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 57¢ 100¢ $20 $34 +$15 (+74%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 37¢ 38¢ $33 $34 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 63¢ 100¢ $20 $31 +$12 (+59%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Under 22¢ 12¢ $50 $28 −$22 (-44%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Over 36¢ 34¢ $29 $28 −$1 (-4%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5 Under 35¢ 18¢ $42 $22 −$20 (-47%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 26¢ 60¢ $10 $22 +$12 (+129%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-3%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 Over 35¢ 55¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+56%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 70¢ 100¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+43%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 42¢ 55¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+30%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 78¢ 100¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+28%)
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Knicks 47¢ 46¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-3%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 37¢ 40¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $20 +$17 +86%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) Jun 14 $20 −$1 -3%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 Jun 14 $10 +$7 +67%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $20 +$5 +27%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $81 +$43 +53%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $20 +$8 +42%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $48 −$23 -48%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $34 −$3 -8%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $40 −$25 -64%
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $45 +$8 +18%
Will CD Ñublense win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $13 +$3 +24%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $37 −$33 -90%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $44 −$7 -17%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +27%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $35 −$7 -21%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $14 +$7 +50%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 +$30 +307%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $13 +$3 +24%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $20 −$8 -41%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $14 +$18 +124%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $24 −$13 -53%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $15 +$16 +109%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $14 +$22 +152%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +34%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $38 −$10 -25%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 +$13 +67%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $29 −$8 -29%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $37 +$37 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 79% +$78
crypto 7% −$344
sports 6% −$195
culture 3% −$2
weather 2% +$6
politics 1% +$3
tech 1% +$2
world 1% −$35
finance 0% −$311
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 43¢ $10 1m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Minnesota Lynx 26¢ $10 1m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 51¢ $50 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 BUY Over 23¢ $26 5m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 BUY Over 25¢ $14 7m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 31¢ $3 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 31¢ $32 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 BUY Over 24¢ $28 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 BUY Over 30¢ $36 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 BUY Over 30¢ $0 8m
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Knicks 47¢ $12 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 BUY Over 22¢ $24 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5 BUY Under 35¢ $7 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5 BUY Under 35¢ $35 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Under 26¢ $0 10m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Under 26¢ $15 11m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Under 21¢ $0 11m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 61¢ $10 11m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Under 21¢ $12 11m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Under 21¢ $23 11m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 40¢ $10 11m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $10 21m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 35¢ $10 26m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 82¢ $10 26m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 26¢ $10 41m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 43¢ $10 41m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 36¢ $10 41m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 19¢ $10 41m
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 65¢ $53 44m
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Knicks 66¢ $49 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 123 -11.1% -19.6% 46% 41% -12.1%
≤30d 182 -11.8% -20.2% 51% 32% -23.2%
≤90d 304 -5.8% -14.7% 69% 21% -12.5%
all 592 -2.9% -12.2% 74% 11% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.2% 11% -9.9%
10% -20.6% 8% -18.5%
15% -28.2% 5% -26.4%
20% -35.3% 4% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $935.21 · official $935.28 (match) · 1846 history records