Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x9631…2bcf
crypto · 986 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$352 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$352 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$352
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses514 / 512
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1026 / 986
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day462.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1026 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$295
7 days−$352
14 days−$352
30 days−$352
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 42¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 43¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 35¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 42¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 42¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 42¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 36¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 42¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 41¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 34¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 38¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 42¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 34¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 43¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 27¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 40¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 43¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Xtreme Gaming 65¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 42¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 37¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 42¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 22¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 31¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 43¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$93
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1026 -13.0% -21.3% 50% 46% -15.7%
≤30d 1026 -13.0% -21.3% 50% 46% -15.7%
≤90d 1026 -13.0% -21.3% 50% 46% -15.7%
all 1026 -13.0% -21.3% 50% 46% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover462.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.3% 46% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.9% 14% -23.8%
15% -35.7% 10% -31.1%
20% -42.0% 8% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records