Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:17:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x962c…1866
crypto · 154 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$354 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$368 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$236
Realized+$368
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses110 / 90
Open positions6
Markets (closed)200 / 154
History coverage1d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day2771.0
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 200 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$368
7 days+$368
14 days+$368
30 days+$368
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 50¢ 66¢ $27 $36 +$8 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Up 52¢ 58¢ $27 $30 +$3 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Down 48¢ 42¢ $33 $29 −$4 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 51¢ 69¢ $18 $24 +$6 (+37%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Up 49¢ 52¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 49¢ 34¢ $19 $13 −$5 (-29%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Down 49¢ 48¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 42¢ 30¢ $15 $11 −$4 (-27%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Up 50¢ 52¢ $10 $11 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Down 50¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+51%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+86%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+65%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+71%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+40%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$14 +2099%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +446%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +703%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$15 +2746%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$12 +2305%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$15 +2547%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$9 +1953%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +619%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$5 -1050%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +1673%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +972%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +3178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +1461%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$13 +3938%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -580%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$4 +1382%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$32 +18058%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -538%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +1627%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +7863%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +3828%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +4667%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1538%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +9019%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +341%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +814%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -2692%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -997%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +246%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -649%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -6367%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -217%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -1360%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$15 -4279%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$11 -4626%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +253%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$9 -5537%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$5 -2560%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$9 +3233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$10 +9340%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -2810%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -960%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$230
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)+186.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 +217.1% +186.9% 55% 24% -6.8%
≤30d 200 +217.1% +186.9% 55% 24% -6.8%
≤90d 200 +217.1% +186.9% 55% 24% -6.8%
all 200 +217.1% +186.9% 55% 24% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2771.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +186.9% 24% -6.8%
10% ← realistic here +159.4% 17% -15.7%
15% +134.4% 17% -23.9%
20% +111.4% 17% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $235.53 · official $215.90 · 3500 history records