Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:21:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x9625…5bb7
sports · 320 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$15,517 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13,875 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$13,875
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses157 / 163
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$2,650
Open positions0
Markets (closed)320 / 320
History coverage28d
Avg bet$697
Trades / day50.7
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 320 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,992
7 days−$20,079
14 days+$4,989
30 days+$13,875
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 52¢ 0¢ $1,341 $0 −$1,341 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 23¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MOUZ 45¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 53¢ 0¢ $980 $0 −$980 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A Abyssal 59¢ 0¢ $217 $0 −$217 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 23¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner 1WIN 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 30¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng Jun 14 $900 +$898 +100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $1,595 +$893 +56%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $830 +$600 +72%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $2,916 +$1,658 +57%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $2,752 −$2,752 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 14 $1,341 −$1,341 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $998 −$989 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $1,302 +$795 +61%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $994 −$980 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $2,526 +$1,480 +59%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1,516 −$1,496 -99%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $1,009 −$497 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $262 −$262 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $355 −$355 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $460 −$460 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $106 −$106 -100%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Jun 14 $498 −$498 -100%
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Hashiras (BO3) - Thunderpick World Cha Jun 14 $432 −$432 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In Jun 14 $530 −$530 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $452 −$452 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $346 −$346 -100%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $670 +$509 +76%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $339 −$339 -100%
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu Jun 14 $648 −$648 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $572 −$572 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $561 −$561 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $718 −$718 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $273 −$273 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $657 −$657 -100%
Valorant: University War vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Re Jun 14 $673 −$673 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $704 −$704 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $578 −$578 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $494 +$627 +127%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $842 +$757 +90%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $612 +$547 +89%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $717 +$562 +78%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1,897 +$283 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $524 −$524 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $212 −$212 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $1,001 −$1,001 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 12 $951 −$951 -100%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 12 $1,466 −$1,466 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 12 $1,530 −$1,530 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 12 $1,527 −$1,527 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 12 $1,573 −$1,573 -100%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 12 $1,644 −$1,644 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $1,943 −$1,943 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $712 +$637 +89%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2,004 +$2,746 +137%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% +$17,595
crypto 15% −$3,666
other 2% −$55
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng SELL Shintaro Mochizuki 100¢ $1,798 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 50¢ $40 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 50¢ $15 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 50¢ $784 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 50¢ $4 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 50¢ $16 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 50¢ $25 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 50¢ $10 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 50¢ $6 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London SELL Leviatán Esports 100¢ $2,487 2h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 64¢ $182 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 64¢ $76 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 64¢ $5 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 64¢ $10 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 64¢ $13 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 64¢ $178 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 64¢ $10 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 64¢ $8 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 64¢ $16 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 64¢ $13 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 64¢ $10 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 63¢ $1,075 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt SELL Mattia Bellucci 100¢ $1,430 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 58¢ $1 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 58¢ $3 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 58¢ $231 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 58¢ $1 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 58¢ $97 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 58¢ $193 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 58¢ $250 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 101 -30.8% -37.4% 36% 35% -26.3%
≤30d 320 -6.4% -15.3% 49% 48% -1.8%
≤90d 320 -6.4% -15.3% 49% 48% -1.8%
all 320 -6.4% -15.3% 49% 48% -1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 48% -1.8%
10% -23.4% 47% -11.2%
15% ← realistic here -30.8% 46% -19.8%
20% -37.6% 40% -27.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1515 history records