trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +37.8% | +24.7% | 71% | 71% | -10.2% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +157.2% | +132.7% | 70% | 70% | -11.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +108.2% | +88.4% | 62% | 62% | -12.2% |
| all | 28 | +40.6% | +27.2% | 54% | 50% | -11.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +27.2% | 50% | -11.6% |
| 10% | +15.0% | 50% | -20.0% |
| 15% | +3.9% | 50% | -27.8% |
| 20% | -6.3% | 32% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $500 | $498 | −$2 (-0%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 13¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $100 | $96 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $100 | $96 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $100 | $88 | −$12 (-12%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $2,146 | −$2,124 | -99% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $24 | +$24 | +100% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $51 | +$20 | +40% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $961 | +$1,188 | +124% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $202 | +$126 | +62% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $675 | +$942 | +140% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $211 | −$209 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $372 | −$367 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $15 | +$199 | +1288% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $79 | +$94 | +119% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Apr 08 | $400 | −$393 | -98% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Apr 08 | $1,039 | +$369 | +36% |
| Bucks vs. Nets | Apr 08 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10? | Feb 10 | $302 | −$302 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10? | Feb 10 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | Feb 10 | $326 | +$227 | +70% |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) | Feb 10 | $299 | +$26 | +9% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $206 | +$93 | +45% |
| Will CA Huracán vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw? | Feb 08 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime sho | Feb 08 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Will Valencia CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw? | Feb 08 | $100 | +$212 | +212% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04? | Jan 04 | $1,706 | −$1,706 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12PM ET | Jan 04 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04? | Jan 04 | $2,790 | +$1,393 | +50% |
| Chargers vs. Broncos | Jan 04 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Vikings | Jan 04 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | Jan 04 | $1,506 | +$537 | +36% |
| Celtics vs. Clippers | Jan 04 | $250 | +$271 | +108% |