Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T21:17:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
96 0x9613…1671 crypto 45 markets active 17h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (3457 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$7,114 (-8%) realized −$7,114 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate56%33W / 26L
Whale WR67%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2,024per market
Trades / day3457.0pace
Fees−$12est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$4,237
sports 2% +$501
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3457 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-0.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 +10.0% -0.5% 56% 36% -23.1%
≤30d 59 +10.0% -0.5% 56% 36% -23.1%
≤90d 59 +10.0% -0.5% 56% 36% -23.1%
all 59 +10.0% -0.5% 56% 36% -23.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3457.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.5% 36% -23.1%
10% -10.0% 25% -30.4%
15% ← realistic here -18.7% 19% -37.2%
20% -26.6% 12% -43.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +10% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 67% (≥$2,340) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -3% → late +22% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
34.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$372 vs −$1,099 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.43 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,114
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses33 / 26
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)59 / 45
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$2,024
Trades / day3457.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 59 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $1,400 −$1,400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $998 −$998 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $2,300 −$2,300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $0 +$20 +27332%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $2,999 −$2,999 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $1,300 −$1,300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $1,968 −$2,278 -116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $938 −$923 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $43 −$14 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $404 +$46 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $311 +$105 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $411 −$400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $410 +$157 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $406 +$110 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $300 +$159 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $296 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $2,305 −$2,305 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $2,308 +$111 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $553 +$447 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $1,003 +$26 +3%
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Jun 16 $1,512 +$501 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $2,370 −$2,370 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $4,582 +$145 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $480 −$480 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $1,956 +$203 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $2,362 +$293 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $2,010 −$2,010 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $2,286 +$318 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $2,888 −$651 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $1,680 +$1,020 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $1,146 +$115 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $2,010 −$1,980 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $2,340 +$660 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $792 +$336 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $2,640 −$2,640 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $2,100 +$870 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $797 +$1,203 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $2,400 +$495 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $5,250 +$262 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $1,338 −$1,034 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $4,334 +$301 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $3,570 +$184 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $6,889 +$596 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $9,084 +$816 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $1,300 −$540 -42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $450 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $404 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $311 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $411 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $54 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $38 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $54 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $15 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $15 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $18 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $40 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records