Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T01:13:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
96 0x960b…ae8d crypto 100 markets active 2h ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d only
✗ bot/MM pace (465 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$1,028 (+3%) realized +$1,028 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +25% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -4% what you keep after slip
Net edge-4%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate40%40W / 60L
Whale WR40%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$388per market
Trades / day465.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,436
7 days+$1,223
14 days−$54
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (465 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 +29.0% +16.7% 41% 41% -6.3%
≤30d 100 +24.6% +12.7% 40% 40% -9.6%
≤90d 100 +24.6% +12.7% 40% 40% -9.6%
all 100 +24.6% +12.7% 40% 40% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover465.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.7% 40% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here +1.9% 40% -18.3%
15% -7.9% 40% -26.2%
20% -16.9% 40% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +25% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 40% (≥$526) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +12% → late +38% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
33.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$600 vs −$401 · ×1.5 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,028
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses40 / 60
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)100 / 100
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$388
Trades / day465.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 100 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 20 $476 −$476 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 20 $2 +$5 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 20 $151 +$351 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 20 $490 −$413 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 20 $117 +$184 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 20 $103 +$310 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 20 $270 −$270 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 20 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 20 $398 −$223 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 20 $643 +$572 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $670 +$523 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 20 $212 −$153 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 20 $407 −$407 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 20 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 20 $1,152 −$1,152 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 20 $210 +$514 +244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 20 $526 −$526 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 20 $561 +$1,292 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 20 $406 +$721 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 20 $811 +$1,933 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 20 $423 +$727 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $739 −$739 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 20 $149 +$215 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $871 +$1,282 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $680 −$680 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 20 $504 +$1,476 +293%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$43 +426%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $730 −$730 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $888 −$888 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $484 −$484 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $314 −$314 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 20 $296 −$296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 20 $248 −$240 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 20 $71 +$229 +322%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 20 $136 +$317 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $250 −$250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 20 $264 +$549 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 20 $173 −$163 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 20 $11 +$19 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 20 $302 −$302 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 20 $118 +$336 +285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $207 −$207 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 19 $63 +$188 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 19 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 19 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $740 −$740 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records