Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x9603…de5e
sports · 910 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$20 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$35 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$95
Realized+$35
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses705 / 196
Est. fees paid−$71
Open positions9
Markets (closed)901 / 910
History coverage44d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day40.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 9 History 901 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days−$52
14 days−$57
30 days−$163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 95¢ 100¢ $36 $38 +$2 (+5%)
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Lucia Bronzetti 71¢ 100¢ $27 $38 +$11 (+40%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 73¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+37%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Under 80¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+25%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 77¢ 76¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 86¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+16%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 94¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? No 96¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 67¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys Katie Boulter 59¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw? Yes 85¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30? No 82¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5) British Virgin Islands 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils Gael Monfils 68¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapova Dalma Galfi 75¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw? Yes 77¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bratislava: Hynek Barton vs Buvaysar Gadamauri Buvaysar Gadamauri 71¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? Yes 92¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Paris: Madison Keys vs Diane Parry Madison Keys 90¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31? Yes 31¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton Ben Shelton 82¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov Grigor Dimitrov 76¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers New York Yankees 72¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $49 +$8 +15%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $20 +$5 +24%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $25 +$5 +19%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $26 +$6 +23%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $19 +$7 +36%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $33 +$10 +29%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $15 −$14 -99%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $31 −$3 -10%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $116 +$4 +4%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $14 +$1 +7%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $6 −$2 -34%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $14 +$2 +14%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $12 +$3 +29%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $11 +$1 +12%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
South Africa leading at halftime? Jun 12 $17 $0 +1%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 12 $17 +$2 +10%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 12 $19 +$5 +27%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $38 $0 +1%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $59 +$3 +5%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $133 +$5 +4%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $23 +$1 +4%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $18 +$2 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 $0 -5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $6 −$1 -18%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $3 +$1 +29%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Chelsea Fontenel Jun 11 $2 +$1 +25%
ITF Zagreb: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Mina Hodzic Jun 11 $4 +$1 +25%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
ITF Zagreb: Gina Marie Dittmann vs Ipek Oz Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$129
other 20% +$146
world 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 77¢ $3 0m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 97¢ $3 25m
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 71¢ $27 30m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 86¢ $1 31m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 96¢ $5 38m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $6 55m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 96¢ $8 55m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $12 55m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 73¢ $4 56m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Under 82¢ $2 1h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 98¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 80¢ $3 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 97¢ $8 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $2 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $2 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 87¢ $21 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 88¢ $21 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 82¢ $1 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $1 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $4 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 96¢ $1 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $6 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $6 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $6 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 74¢ $6 2h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 97¢ $13 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Viktorija Golubic 95¢ $19 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 79¢ $20 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva BUY Alicia Dudeney 92¢ $4 4h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 83¢ $25 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 -0.1% -9.6% 81% 54% -11.0%
≤30d 566 -1.3% -10.7% 80% 52% -10.9%
≤90d 901 -0.7% -10.1% 78% 54% -8.3%
all 901 -0.7% -10.1% 78% 54% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 54% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 26% -17.1%
15% -26.6% 6% -25.1%
20% -33.8% 1% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.33 · official $95.33 (match) · 2502 history records