trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $68,682 | +$75,163 | +109% |
| Will 'Actually Romantic' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a S | Jun 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will 'Elizabeth Taylor' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Sh | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will 'The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter)' be the most st | Jun 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Vikings vs. Browns | Jun 08 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Dolphins vs. Browns | Jun 08 | $215 | −$215 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Penguins | Jun 08 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 14? | Jun 08 | $110 | −$110 | -100% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Jun 08 | $73 | −$73 | -100% |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6? | Jun 08 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Lions | Jun 08 | $265 | −$265 | -100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) | Jun 08 | $655 | −$655 | -100% |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | Jun 08 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Capitals | Jun 08 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? | Jun 08 | $130 | −$130 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Ravens | Jun 08 | $480 | −$480 | -100% |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-10-21? | Jun 08 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals | Jun 08 | $480 | −$480 | -100% |
| Giants vs. Saints | Jun 08 | $460 | −$460 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Ducks | Jun 08 | $800 | −$800 | -100% |
| Blue Jays vs. Dodgers | Jun 08 | $750 | −$750 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | Jun 08 | $700 | −$700 | -100% |
| Dodgers vs. Brewers | Jun 08 | $940 | −$940 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Jun 08 | $600 | −$600 | -100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? | Jun 08 | $155 | −$155 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Wizards | Jun 08 | $900 | −$900 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Jaguars | Jun 08 | $1,153 | −$1,153 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Pistons | Jun 08 | $2,000 | −$2,000 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | Jun 08 | $1,500 | −$1,500 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Knicks | Jun 08 | $5,000 | −$5,000 | -100% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | Jun 08 | $2,000 | −$2,000 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $23,879 | +$44,989 | +188% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | Feb 12 | $603 | +$127 | +21% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026 | Feb 09 | $150 | +$121 | +80% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $4,000 | +$1,797 | +45% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | Feb 06 | $1,600 | +$244 | +15% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Feb 03 | $1,800 | +$2,126 | +118% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026? | Jan 05 | $500 | +$39 | +8% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 05 | $80 | +$491 | +614% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 05 | $500 | +$161 | +32% |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 30 | $4,000 | +$795 | +20% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Oct 28 | $1,750 | +$15 | +1% |
| Commanders vs. Chiefs | Oct 28 | $400 | +$65 | +16% |
| Nets vs. Hornets | Oct 27 | $720 | +$388 | +54% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | Oct 27 | $525 | +$1,420 | +270% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 21? | Oct 21 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays | Oct 21 | $540 | +$460 | +85% |
| Blue Jays vs. Mariners | Oct 18 | $81 | +$99 | +122% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | Oct 18 | $630 | +$358 | +57% |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? | Oct 14 | $180 | +$354 | +196% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 32 | -84.4% | -85.9% | 6% | 6% | +70.5% |
| ≤30d | 32 | -84.4% | -85.9% | 6% | 6% | +70.5% |
| ≤90d | 32 | -84.4% | -85.9% | 6% | 6% | +70.5% |
| all | 62 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 44% | 35% | +57.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -10.3% | 35% | +57.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -18.9% | 29% | +42.0% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 27% | +28.3% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 26% | +15.7% |