trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +19.1% | +7.8% | 57% | 43% | +12.3% |
| ≤30d | 27 | -15.0% | -23.1% | 41% | 37% | -66.5% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -15.0% | -23.1% | 41% | 37% | -66.5% |
| all | 27 | -15.0% | -23.1% | 41% | 37% | -66.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.1% | 37% | -66.5% |
| 10% | -30.5% | 33% | -69.7% |
| 15% | -37.2% | 22% | -72.6% |
| 20% | -43.4% | 22% | -75.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $21 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $17 | +$10 | +56% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21? | Jun 21 | $8 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $5 | +$3 | +50% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19? | Jun 19 | $4 | +$1 | +25% |
| Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5 | Jun 17 | $147 | −$145 | -99% |
| Will DR Congo finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Jun 16 | $3 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$1 | +34% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 15 | $4 | −$3 | -77% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +65% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$1 | -51% |
| Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$2 | +77% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 14 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $11 | +$6 | +58% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$6 | +113% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +24% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $15 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 11 | $170 | −$143 | -84% |