Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:01:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
95 0x95e8…1210 crypto 530 markets active 4d ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 19d only
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,352 (+14%) realized +$1,352 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate57%300W / 230L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day55.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$101
14 days+$221
30 days+$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$106
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 -18.6% -26.3% 43% 40% -13.4%
≤30d 530 +0.8% -8.8% 57% 53% -8.6%
≤90d 530 +0.8% -8.8% 57% 53% -8.6%
all 530 +0.8% -8.8% 57% 53% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 53% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 47% -17.3%
15% -25.5% 40% -25.3%
20% -32.8% 30% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$13 · ×0.79 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,352
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses300 / 230
Open positions0
Markets (closed)530 / 530
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$19
Trades / day55.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 530 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$2 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $78 +$9 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$8 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$10 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$3 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$22 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$23 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$24 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$24 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$4 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$24 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$38 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$41 +232%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$8 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$19 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$23 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$89 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$7 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$8 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$11 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$15 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$9 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$6 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$18 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$26 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$4 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $9 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $8 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $9 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $16 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $43 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $8 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $9 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $8 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $8 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $15 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $8 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $8 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $12 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $13 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $9 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $9 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $8 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $12 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $9 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records