Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T03:45:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
95 0x95e6…e97b crypto 37 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3462 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$95 (-1%) realized −$95 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate54%20W / 17L
Whale WR56%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$455per market
Trades / day3462.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$140
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3462 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -10.2% -18.7% 54% 16% -10.3%
≤30d 37 -10.2% -18.7% 54% 16% -10.3%
≤90d 37 -10.2% -18.7% 54% 16% -10.3%
all 37 -10.2% -18.7% 54% 16% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3462.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 16% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 5% -18.9%
15% -33.6% 3% -26.7%
20% -40.1% 3% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
70% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 56% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -10% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
93.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$27 vs −$40 · ×0.67 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$95
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses20 / 17
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$455
Trades / day3462.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 37 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 21 $2,367 +$55 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 21 $693 +$96 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 21 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 21 $536 +$3 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 21 $360 −$35 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 21 $444 +$43 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 21 $202 +$18 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 21 $543 −$9 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 20 $630 +$12 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 20 $372 +$44 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 20 $328 +$22 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 20 $255 +$12 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 20 $297 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 20 $198 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $49 −$29 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 20 $110 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 20 $338 +$31 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 20 $402 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 20 $266 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 20 $108 −$13 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $344 +$29 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $2,498 −$300 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 20 $2,587 −$15 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $681 −$85 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 20 $327 −$38 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 20 $174 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$6 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 20 $597 +$73 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 20 $108 −$18 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 20 $382 −$17 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 20 $241 −$12 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 20 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 20 $296 +$69 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $402 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $503 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $503 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $302 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $301 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $8 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $6 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records