Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:59:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
95 0x95e2…914b crypto 93 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (293 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$101 (-5%) realized −$101 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate91%85W / 8L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day293.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$110
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (293 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -3.6% -12.8% 91% 10% -14.8%
≤30d 93 -3.6% -12.8% 91% 10% -14.8%
≤90d 93 -3.6% -12.8% 91% 10% -14.8%
all 93 -3.6% -12.8% 91% 10% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover293.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 10% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 4% -22.9%
15% -28.7% 1% -30.4%
20% -35.7% 0% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$27 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.49 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$101
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses85 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)93 / 93
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day293.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 93 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $70 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $70 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $70 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $70 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $70 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $71 +$8 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $70 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $70 +$3 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 385 history records