Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:14:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x95cd…cf01
sports · 65 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$624 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$536 · open −$387
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$590
Realized+$536
Unrealized−$387
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses25 / 39
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$37
Open positions1
Markets (closed)64 / 65
History coverage151d
Avg bet$323
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 29¢ 18¢ $977 $590 −$387 (-40%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) Hanwha Life Esports 44¢ 0¢ $287 $0 −$287 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 2 Winner DRX 23¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner BNK FEARX 68¢ 0¢ $606 $0 −$606 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs Dplus KIA 54¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) BNK FEARX 62¢ 0¢ $366 $0 −$366 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 1 Winner DRX 2¢ 0¢ $168 $0 −$168 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 75¢ 0¢ $430 $0 −$430 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $295 $0 −$295 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 48¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $241 $0 −$241 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 37¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 1 Winner OKSavingsBank BRION 3¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In Nongshim Red Force 63¢ 0¢ $739 $0 −$739 (-100%)
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? No 0¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 23¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) OKSavingsBank BRION 6¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 33¢ 0¢ $999 $0 −$999 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winner DN Freecs 13¢ 0¢ $286 $0 −$286 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 29 $517 +$362 +70%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) Apr 25 $581 +$407 +70%
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Apr 25 $493 +$89 +18%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) Mar 23 $1,203 +$1,022 +85%
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner Mar 21 $430 −$430 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs Mar 21 $914 −$440 -48%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) Mar 21 $121 −$121 -100%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) Mar 21 $101 +$21 +20%
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner Mar 20 $606 −$606 -100%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) Mar 20 $366 −$366 -100%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) Mar 19 $969 +$97 +10%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) Mar 19 $757 +$212 +28%
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5) Mar 18 $353 +$199 +56%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) Mar 18 $873 +$1,781 +204%
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Mar 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Mar 02 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Mar 02 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Mar 02 $4 $0 -1%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs Feb 28 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In Feb 07 $739 −$739 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner Feb 07 $301 +$438 +146%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winner Feb 07 $286 −$286 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 2 Winner Feb 07 $500 −$500 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 1 Winner Feb 07 $168 −$168 -100%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season Feb 07 $500 −$332 -66%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner Feb 06 $368 −$119 -32%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Feb 05 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Feb 04 $146 +$592 +406%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Feb 03 $499 +$206 +41%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Feb 01 $249 +$134 +54%
US government shutdown Saturday? Jan 31 $2,028 +$1,172 +58%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) Jan 31 $998 +$638 +64%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jan 29 $946 +$593 +63%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jan 29 $500 −$500 -100%
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Jan 28 $109 −$109 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jan 24 $999 −$999 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jan 24 $300 −$300 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jan 23 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jan 23 $4 $0 -6%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jan 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jan 23 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jan 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jan 23 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jan 22 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jan 22 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jan 22 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jan 22 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jan 21 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jan 21 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jan 20 $2 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$334
politics 10% +$1,172
crypto 3% −$545
world 3% −$35
economics 1% −$109
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $993 1h
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $879 45d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Hanwha Life Esports 58¢ $517 46d
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) SELL Dplus KIA 100¢ $989 49d
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) BUY Dplus KIA 58¢ $581 49d
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $581 49d
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 84¢ $493 49d
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $2,046 83d
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 56¢ $100 83d
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 53¢ $178 83d
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 54¢ $925 84d
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 75¢ $430 84d
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs SELL Gen.G 43¢ $474 84d
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs BUY Gen.G 84¢ $914 84d
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) BUY Gen.G 90¢ $121 84d
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) BUY JD Gaming 83¢ $101 85d
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner BUY BNK FEARX 67¢ $100 85d
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner BUY BNK FEARX 68¢ $506 85d
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) BUY BNK FEARX 64¢ $84 85d
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) BUY BNK FEARX 61¢ $282 86d
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) BUY JD Gaming 91¢ $709 86d
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) BUY JD Gaming 91¢ $260 86d
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) SELL Gen.G 100¢ $969 86d
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 78¢ $552 86d
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 78¢ $205 86d
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5) BUY BNK FEARX 64¢ $353 87d
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $2,654 87d
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 33¢ $873 88d
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY JD Gaming 19¢ $20 88d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-29.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 15 +0.9% -8.7% 60% 53% +14.5%
all 64 -21.5% -29.0% 39% 28% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.0% 28% -7.1%
10% -35.8% 25% -16.0%
15% -42.0% 20% -24.1%
20% -47.7% 17% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $589.63 · official $589.63 (match) · 155 history records