Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:11:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x95a9…4352
sports · 612 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$29,280 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$28,286 · open −$469
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,424
Realized+$28,286
Unrealized−$469
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses385 / 222
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$1,115
Open positions5
Markets (closed)607 / 612
History coverage198d
Avg bet$938
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 5 History 607 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9,981
7 days+$12,834
14 days+$13,632
30 days+$11,794
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? No 50¢ 50¢ $606 $600 −$6 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 74¢ $494 $490 −$3 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 43¢ 44¢ $308 $312 +$4 (+1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? No 10¢ 10¢ $23 $22 −$1 (-5%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 37¢ 0¢ $463 $1 −$462 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Heat Heat 44¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Bucks Bucks 57¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Raptors Raptors 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Pacers Pacers 25¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Wizards Raptors 74¢ 0¢ $355 $0 −$355 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers Celtics 70¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs GAM Esports 81¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Thunder Thunder 60¢ 0¢ $875 $0 −$875 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs FURIA 72¢ 0¢ $723 $0 −$723 (-100%)
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11? No 62¢ 0¢ $1,189 $0 −$1,189 (-100%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06? No 49¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 0¢ $226 $0 −$226 (-100%)
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07? No 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 69¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Play-In MANA eSports 60¢ 0¢ $314 $0 −$314 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Warriors Nuggets 64¢ 0¢ $356 $0 −$356 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Knicks 39¢ 0¢ $247 $0 −$247 (-100%)
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? No 76¢ 0¢ $871 $0 −$871 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Celtics Celtics 76¢ 0¢ $524 $0 −$524 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Lakers Rockets 65¢ 0¢ $1,685 $0 −$1,685 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $337 +$980 +291%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,374 +$1,842 +134%
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? Jun 14 $13 +$27 +206%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,161 +$4,508 +388%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $139 −$136 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2,780 +$2,993 +108%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $746 +$325 +44%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $336 −$333 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $229 −$226 -99%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $197 +$82 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $850 +$506 +60%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 11 $184 −$181 -98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $55 −$53 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $62 −$61 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $93 +$74 +79%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $108 +$109 +101%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $34 −$33 -97%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $348 −$343 -99%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 10 $987 +$451 +46%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $1,460 +$524 +36%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 10 $1,569 +$592 +38%
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 08 $227 +$86 +38%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,048 +$1,101 +105%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $93 −$91 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 06 $2,599 +$692 +27%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $62 −$61 -99%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $763 −$748 -98%
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs Jun 04 $1,266 +$661 +52%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $443 −$433 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 03 $683 −$673 -98%
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North Ameri Jun 02 $803 +$803 +100%
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw? Jun 01 $50 +$22 +44%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 01 $1,831 +$624 +34%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World C May 28 $1,183 +$219 +18%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO5) - ESL Challenger Leagu May 28 $274 −$267 -97%
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante May 26 $384 −$382 -100%
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group May 19 $79 −$77 -98%
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante May 19 $696 −$688 -99%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 18 $2,254 −$2,232 -99%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea May 18 $1,225 +$585 +48%
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? May 17 $886 +$243 +27%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $2,964 +$1,010 +34%
Will Cuiabá EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw? May 16 $472 −$467 -99%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves May 16 $438 +$219 +50%
LoL: GTZ Esports vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season May 14 $50 −$49 -98%
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? May 14 $5,837 +$1,042 +18%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11? May 12 $1,165 +$754 +65%
Thunder vs. Lakers May 12 $2,829 +$593 +21%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $2,051 +$561 +27%
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group May 10 $2,266 −$2,248 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% +$3,693
other 16% +$24,106
world 0% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 50¢ $615 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 75¢ $497 9h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 37¢ $406 11h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $139 11h
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? BUY Yes 32¢ $13 12h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $65 24h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 20¢ $1,057 24h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $337 28h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $1,374 30h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $1,646 34h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 10¢ $23 36h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 20¢ $104 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $746 45h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $336 45h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $229 46h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $380 2d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $313 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $378 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $376 2d
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 35¢ $184 2d
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $55 2d
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Team Heretics Academy 70¢ $197 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $850 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 BUY Under 15¢ $62 2d
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? BUY No 49¢ $108 3d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $34 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $93 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 53¢ $348 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 73¢ $1,460 4d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY XLG Gaming 72¢ $1,569 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +39.8% +26.5% 65% 65% +71.6%
≤30d 44 +5.7% -4.4% 57% 57% +22.2%
≤90d 161 +4.6% -5.3% 65% 64% -1.9%
all 607 -0.8% -10.3% 63% 62% -4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 62% -4.2%
10% -18.9% 51% -13.4%
15% -26.7% 31% -21.8%
20% -33.9% 17% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,424.17 · official $1,424.17 (match) · 1777 history records