Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:37:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
95 0x9587…ffaf crypto 73 markets active 7d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (123 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$16 (-5%) realized −$16 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -36% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -50% what you keep after slip
Net edge-50%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate36%26W / 47L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day123.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% −$28
politics 11% +$2
sports 2% −$6
weather 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (123 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-41.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -33.0% -39.4% 37% 28% -18.6%
≤30d 73 -35.8% -41.9% 36% 27% -22.4%
≤90d 73 -35.8% -41.9% 36% 27% -22.4%
all 73 -35.8% -41.9% 36% 27% -22.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover123.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.9% 27% -22.4%
10% ← realistic here -47.4% 19% -29.8%
15% -52.5% 15% -36.6%
20% -57.2% 10% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 40% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -36% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -28% → late -44% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.02 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses26 / 47
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)73 / 73
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day123.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 73 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on June Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 10 $33 +$2 +6%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $13 +$6 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$11 +356%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 5¢ $1 6d
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY NRG 64¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 322 history records