Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:08:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x957d…c56b
crypto · 827 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$448 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$457 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$68
Realized+$457
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses535 / 445
Open positions4
Markets (closed)980 / 827
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day2162.8
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 980 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$457
7 days+$457
14 days+$457
30 days+$457
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 55¢ 64¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+15%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 47¢ 18¢ $6 $2 −$4 (-61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 55¢ 22¢ $4 $2 −$3 (-61%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 50¢ 16¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-68%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+95%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+58%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+89%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+73%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+178%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 29¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+245%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+40%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$4 -424%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$4 -592%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -387%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -102%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +178%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -285%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +609%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -551%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +245%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$4 +1671%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +343%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +1038%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +170%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +499%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -191%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -413%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +209%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +510%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -101%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +186%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -300%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$510
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $8 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $9 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+25.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 980 +39.1% +25.8% 55% 50% -3.3%
≤30d 980 +39.1% +25.8% 55% 50% -3.3%
≤90d 980 +39.1% +25.8% 55% 50% -3.3%
all 980 +39.1% +25.8% 55% 50% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2162.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +25.8% 50% -3.3%
10% ← realistic here +13.8% 44% -12.6%
15% +2.8% 39% -21.0%
20% -7.3% 33% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.51 · official $13.01 · 3500 history records