trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 28 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 14% | 0% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 0% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 22 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 08 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $57 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 06 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 05 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 05 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 04 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Sep 15 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Sep 15 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | Sep 13 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 10 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025? | Sep 10 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | Sep 09 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Sep 09 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 09 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Sep 09 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29? | Sep 05 | $27 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Sep 02 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Sep 02 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Sep 02 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 02 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Aug 29 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Xi Jinping out before October? | Aug 28 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31? | Aug 28 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Aug 28 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? | Aug 28 | $8 | $0 | +0% |