Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T15:57:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
95 0x9579…5027 crypto 1168 markets active 0h ago coverage 21d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d only
✗ bot/MM pace (130 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$761 (-2%) realized −$761 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate53%653W / 584L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day130.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$709
7 days−$635
14 days−$1,088
30 days−$1,613
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$932
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (130 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 158 -58.5% -62.4% 26% 22% -41.8%
≤30d 1237 -15.8% -23.9% 53% 38% -14.1%
≤90d 1237 -15.8% -23.9% 53% 38% -14.1%
all 1237 -15.8% -23.9% 53% 38% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover130.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.9% 38% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -31.1% 30% -22.3%
15% -37.8% 23% -29.8%
20% -43.9% 17% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -23% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$14 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$761
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses653 / 584
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1237 / 1168
History coverage21d ⚠
Avg bet$26
Trades / day130.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1237 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $17 −$23 -132%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$43 -645%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $18 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $12 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $33 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $23 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $13 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $21 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $9 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $12 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $13 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $7 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $17 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $14 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $3 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records