Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T21:38:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
95 0x9560…66b8 sports 328 markets active 11d ago coverage 26d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$10 (-2%) realized −$10 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate36%118W / 208L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day14.9pace
Fees−$7est.
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$1
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 85% −$18
other 15% +$1
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 202 -10.5% -19.0% 32% 32% -19.1%
≤90d 326 -0.7% -10.1% 36% 36% -12.7%
all 326 -0.7% -10.1% 36% 36% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 36% -12.7%
10% -18.7% 33% -21.0%
15% -26.6% 31% -28.7%
20% -33.8% 29% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$1 · ×1.66 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses118 / 208
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)326 / 328
History coverage26d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day14.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 326 Trades
no open positions (99 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinn Jun 18 $2 +$1 +29%
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taylor Fritz Jun 18 $2 +$1 +26%
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka Jun 18 $2 −$2 -99%
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Jun 17 $1 +$1 +67%
Nottingham 2: Otto Virtanen vs Felix Gill Jun 17 $2 +$1 +26%
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego Jun 17 $1 $0 +29%
Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaier Jun 17 $2 −$2 -99%
Nottingham 2: Remy Bertola vs Yibing Wu Jun 16 $1 +$4 +276%
Dublin: Mark Lajal vs Ugo Blanchet Jun 16 $1 +$1 +81%
Royan: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Felix Balshaw Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Poznan: Gonzalo Bueno vs Tomasz Berkieta Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Royan: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Lucas Poullain Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Dublin: Jurij Rodionov vs Quinn Vandecasteele Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Dublin: Benjamin Willwerth vs Yi Zhou Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Parma: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Juan Martin Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Royan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Santamarta Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Vera Zvonareva Jun 15 $1 +$1 +140%
Nottingham Open: Anna Blinkova vs Taylah Preston Jun 15 $1 +$2 +226%
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider Jun 15 $2 +$3 +197%
Brescia: Alessandra Mazzola vs Luisina Giovannini Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Rebeka Masarova vs Mia Pohan Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Nottingham Open: Tatjana Maria vs Janice Tjen Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Royan: Pierre Delage vs Svyatoslav Gulin Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Laurent Lokoli Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Parma: Sebastian Ofner vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $4 −$1 -27%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin Jun 14 $4 −$3 -74%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $4 +$11 +325%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova Jun 14 $4 +$2 +55%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $4 +$6 +134%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $4 +$10 +297%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 13 $5 +$6 +127%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $3 +$7 +256%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $5 −$3 -70%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $2 +$3 +145%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $2 +$5 +249%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka BUY Jiri Lehecka 74¢ $1 10d
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinn BUY Ben Shelton 77¢ $1 10d
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 79¢ $1 10d
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka BUY Jiri Lehecka 74¢ $1 10d
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinn BUY Ben Shelton 77¢ $1 10d
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 79¢ $1 10d
Nottingham 2: Otto Virtanen vs Felix Gill BUY Otto Virtanen 79¢ $1 11d
Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaier BUY Hubert Hurkacz 78¢ $1 11d
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego BUY Ben Shelton 77¢ $1 11d
Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaier BUY Hubert Hurkacz 78¢ $1 11d
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassime BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 59¢ $1 11d
Nottingham 2: Otto Virtanen vs Felix Gill BUY Otto Virtanen 79¢ $1 11d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AN BUY 22¢ $1 12d
Dublin: Mark Lajal vs Ugo Blanchet BUY Ugo Blanchet 27¢ $1 12d
Nottingham 2: Remy Bertola vs Yibing Wu BUY Remy Bertola 26¢ $1 12d
Royan: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Felix Balshaw BUY Eliakim Coulibaly 28¢ $1 12d
Poznan: Gonzalo Bueno vs Tomasz Berkieta BUY Tomasz Berkieta 24¢ $1 12d
Royan: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Lucas Poullain BUY Lucas Poullain 28¢ $1 12d
Dublin: Jurij Rodionov vs Quinn Vandecasteele BUY Quinn Vandecasteele 25¢ $1 12d
Dublin: Benjamin Willwerth vs Yi Zhou BUY Benjamin Willwerth 27¢ $1 12d
Parma: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Juan Martin BUY Juan Martin 26¢ $1 12d
Royan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Santamarta BUY Andres Santamarta 28¢ $1 12d
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Vera Zvonareva BUY Susan Bandecchi 41¢ $1 13d
Nottingham Open: Anna Blinkova vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 30¢ $1 13d
Brescia: Alessandra Mazzola vs Luisina Giovannini BUY Alessandra Mazzola 38¢ $1 14d
Brescia: Alessandra Mazzola vs Luisina Giovannini BUY Alessandra Mazzola 35¢ $1 14d
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Rebeka Masarova vs Mia Pohan BUY Mia Pohankova 42¢ $2 14d
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider BUY Nikola Bartunkova 33¢ $2 14d
Nottingham Open: Tatjana Maria vs Janice Tjen BUY Janice Tjen 34¢ $2 14d
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva BUY Maya Joint 39¢ $2 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 606 history records