Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T01:25:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
95 0x955b…7960 crypto 396 markets active 0h ago coverage 85d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
Total PnL −$152 (-3%) realized −$673 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate46%184W / 212L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day7.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$469
7 days−$469
14 days−$469
30 days−$469
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$673
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -73.4% -75.9% 12% 12% -84.4%
≤30d 17 -73.4% -75.9% 12% 12% -84.4%
≤90d 396 -8.5% -17.2% 46% 43% -21.1%
all 396 -8.5% -17.2% 46% 43% -21.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.2% 43% -21.1%
10% -25.1% 41% -28.6%
15% -32.4% 38% -35.5%
20% -39.0% 33% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -17% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$13 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

85d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$673
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses184 / 212
Open positions0
Markets (closed)396 / 396
History coverage85d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day7.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 396 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET Jun 15 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$43 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$13 +107%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 10PM ET Apr 08 $14 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8PM ET Apr 08 $11 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Apr 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 4PM ET Apr 07 $5 +$9 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Apr 07 $8 +$8 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Apr 07 $11 +$7 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Apr 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Apr 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Apr 07 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 10AM ET Apr 07 $11 +$20 +177%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Apr 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 9PM ET Apr 07 $11 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8PM ET Apr 07 $11 +$8 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Apr 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 7PM ET Apr 07 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Apr 07 $8 +$5 +59%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11AM ET Apr 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Apr 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Apr 06 $12 +$4 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 9AM ET Apr 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 9AM ET Apr 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 8AM ET Apr 06 $9 +$11 +134%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Apr 06 $17 +$9 +56%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 2PM ET Apr 03 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 2PM ET Apr 03 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 12PM ET Apr 03 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 3PM ET Apr 03 $16 +$9 +56%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Apr 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Apr 03 $12 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Apr 03 $10 +$7 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Apr 03 $17 +$15 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2PM ET Apr 02 $13 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Apr 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $7 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $14 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $8 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $12 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $13 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $11 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $6 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $17 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $16 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $9 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $11 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $7 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $18 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $26 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $6 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1234 history records