Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:11:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
95 0x9553…be34 crypto 1728 markets active 0h ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d only
✗ bot/MM pace (121 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$33 (+1%) realized +$33 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR62%break-even
Win rate82%1410W / 318L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day121.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days+$15
14 days+$7
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (121 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 741 +0.7% -8.9% 88% 59% -8.7%
≤30d 1728 -0.4% -9.9% 82% 62% -9.4%
≤90d 1728 -0.4% -9.9% 82% 62% -9.4%
all 1728 -0.4% -9.9% 82% 62% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover121.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 62% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 26% -18.1%
15% -26.4% 11% -26.0%
20% -33.6% 5% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1410 / 318
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1728 / 1728
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day121.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1728 Trades
no open positions (118 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.96 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records