trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +61.0% | +45.7% | 45% | 45% | +16.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +61.8% | +46.4% | 50% | 50% | +26.5% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +37.9% | +24.8% | 44% | 44% | -4.4% |
| all | 16 | +37.9% | +24.8% | 44% | 44% | -4.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +24.8% | 44% | -4.4% |
| 10% | +12.8% | 44% | -13.6% |
| 15% | +1.9% | 44% | -21.9% |
| 20% | -8.1% | 38% | -29.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 11¢ | $400 | $511 | +$111 (+28%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $418 | $459 | +$41 (+10%) |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $380 | $377 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $325 | $237 | −$88 (-27%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 38¢ | 44¢ | $30 | $34 | +$4 (+14%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $15 | $14 | −$1 (-9%) |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $6 | −$44 (-88%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $200 | +$80 | +40% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $41 | +$125 | +305% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $450 | −$85 | -19% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $51 | +$52 | +102% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $21 | +$128 | +624% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $36 | +$42 | +118% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $332 | +$234 | +70% |
| Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale? | Apr 29 | $370 | −$353 | -95% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $80 | −$78 | -98% |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 15 | $30 | +$50 | +165% |