Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:20:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x9532…2c83
crypto · 46 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses29 / 16
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)45 / 46
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day101.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 49¢ 58¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -49%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$6
sports 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -14.8% -22.9% 64% 13% -19.7%
≤30d 45 -14.8% -22.9% 64% 13% -19.7%
≤90d 45 -14.8% -22.9% 64% 13% -19.7%
all 45 -14.8% -22.9% 64% 13% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover101.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.9% 13% -19.7%
10% ← realistic here -30.3% 7% -27.4%
15% -37.0% 0% -34.4%
20% -43.2% 0% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.19 · official $1.09 (match) · 117 history records