Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x9525…b927
sports · 238 markets active 7h ago
0.0score
−$97 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$97 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$97
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses68 / 167
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions3
Markets (closed)235 / 238
History coverage83d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 3 History 235 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? Yes 54¢ 55¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 80¢ 78¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 80¢ 78¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Lakers Rockets 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Lightning vs. Sabres Lightning 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Celtics (-13.5) Celtics 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season Eintracht Frankfurt 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: 76ers (-14.5) Wizards 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? No 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Map Handicap: PSSN.UA (-1.5) vs Sashi Esport (+1.5) Sashi Esport 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 5.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Arizona Diamondbacks 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Liberty Flames 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score No 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Hawks (-17.5) Magic 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ducks vs. Sharks Ducks 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Naples: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Vitaliy Sachko Geoffrey Blancaneaux 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
O/U 3.5 Rounds Under 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) New York Mets 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-04-14? No 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Knicks 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Suns Suns 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-22? No 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $5 −$1 -20%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $5 +$2 +46%
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $5 $0 -8%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 $0 -9%
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 −$1 -11%
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Gro Jun 11 $5 $0 -8%
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 09 $5 −$2 -45%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $5 −$1 -19%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $5 −$2 -40%
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $5 $0 -9%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $5 +$1 +16%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $5 +$3 +64%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 −$2 -34%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 08 $5 −$2 -40%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? Jun 08 $5 $0 -5%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $5 −$1 -28%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 08 $5 −$1 -25%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $5 −$1 -19%
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) Jun 07 $5 +$1 +13%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 07 $5 +$2 +46%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $5 −$1 -18%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $5 −$4 -84%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 07 $5 −$1 -30%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $5 −$2 -40%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 07 $5 −$1 -19%
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $5 $0 -5%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $5 −$1 -19%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $5 −$1 -19%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -91%
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 07 $5 −$1 -22%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $5 −$2 -31%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $5 +$3 +69%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 07 $5 −$3 -67%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 07 $5 −$4 -74%
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) Jun 07 $5 −$2 -31%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $5 −$1 -20%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $5 −$1 -12%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $5 +$2 +44%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $5 −$1 -25%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 06 $5 −$1 -22%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $5 $0 -1%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $5 +$5 +93%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $5 −$3 -53%
O/U 3.5 Rounds Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 06 $5 +$4 +70%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $5 −$1 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% −$53
other 13% −$33
world 5% −$4
politics 1% $0
finance 1% −$3
crypto 1% −$3
culture 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 6h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 43¢ $4 7h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 80¢ $5 9h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 69¢ $5 9h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 52¢ $5 13h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 92¢ $7 13h
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 80¢ $5 15h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 63¢ $5 15h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 62¢ $5 15h
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 15¢ $5 15h
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 15h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 64¢ $5 15h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $5 15h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 69¢ $5 15h
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 36¢ $5 15h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 28¢ $4 15h
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Gro SELL No 41¢ $5 15h
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 33¢ $5 15h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 24¢ $3 2d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 42¢ $5 2d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 41¢ $4 2d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 49¢ $5 2d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Cleveland Guardians 30¢ $3 2d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 48¢ $5 2d
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 48¢ $5 2d
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Gro BUY No 43¢ $5 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics SELL Milwaukee Brewers 68¢ $6 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 57¢ $5 3d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 79¢ $8 3d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 47¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -11.4% -19.8% 24% 22% -19.8%
≤30d 55 -11.4% -19.8% 24% 22% -19.8%
≤90d 235 -10.2% -18.7% 29% 26% -17.8%
all 235 -10.2% -18.7% 29% 26% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.7% 26% -17.8%
10% -26.5% 22% -25.7%
15% -33.6% 21% -32.9%
20% -40.1% 15% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.78 · official $14.78 (match) · 459 history records