trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -49.8% | -54.6% | 50% | 0% | -40.8% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -32.9% | -39.3% | 67% | 0% | -28.2% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -19.3% | -27.0% | 80% | 0% | -20.9% |
| all | 24 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 83% | 21% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 21% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 12% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 8% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 4% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $90 | $90 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers vs. Raptors | Jun 30 | $95 | −$95 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 30 | $178 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 03 | $177 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | May 07 | $88 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 14 | $173 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 25 | $170 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 12 | $253 | +$1 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 26 | $83 | +$1 | +1% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 26 | $159 | +$4 | +2% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 16 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Dec 31 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 21 | $94 | +$6 | +6% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 03 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Nov 25 | $82 | −$82 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Nov 25 | $80 | +$20 | +25% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Thunder | Nov 24 | $91 | +$9 | +10% |
| Kings vs. Nuggets | Nov 22 | $84 | −$84 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Nov 22 | $88 | +$12 | +14% |
| Clippers vs. Magic | Nov 21 | $68 | +$32 | +47% |
| Kings vs. Thunder | Nov 20 | $93 | +$7 | +8% |
| Warriors vs. Magic | Nov 19 | $78 | +$122 | +156% |
| Pacers vs. Pistons | Nov 18 | $82 | +$18 | +22% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Nov 17 | $95 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 14 | $100 | +$9 | +9% |