Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:26:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x9522…11cc
crypto · 496 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$492 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$491 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$491
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses362 / 133
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)495 / 496
History coverage24d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day131.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 495 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$96
7 days+$96
14 days−$326
30 days−$491
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 49¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-46%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$12 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$11 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$23 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$8 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$34 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$17 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$24 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$19 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$22 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$492
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 +6.5% -3.6% 55% 55% +6.7%
≤30d 495 -1.2% -10.7% 73% 32% -12.4%
≤90d 495 -1.2% -10.7% 73% 32% -12.4%
all 495 -1.2% -10.7% 73% 32% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover131.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 32% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 18% -20.7%
15% -27.0% 16% -28.4%
20% -34.2% 16% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.67 · official $1.27 (match) · 3500 history records