Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:08:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x951b…433e
crypto · 306 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$731 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$741 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$89
Realized−$741
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses148 / 159
Whale WR (big bets)25%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)307 / 306
History coverage1d
Avg bet$233
Trades / day2381.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 307 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$741
7 days−$741
14 days−$741
30 days−$741
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 79¢ 96¢ $67 $82 +$15 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 30¢ 4¢ $14 $2 −$12 (-88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $255 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $92 −$10 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $311 −$47 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $126 +$32 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $135 −$16 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $281 −$19 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$27 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $150 −$30 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $215 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $221 −$25 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $619 −$20 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $276 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $241 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $187 −$27 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $307 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $145 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $111 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $191 −$24 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $216 −$12 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $253 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $168 −$8 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $327 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $84 +$25 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $351 +$49 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $128 −$9 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $224 +$16 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$25 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $89 −$9 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$20 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $342 +$18 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $101 −$21 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$10 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $101 −$17 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $389 −$29 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$12 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $175 +$23 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $184 −$24 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $178 −$18 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$20 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $121 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $127 −$8 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$10 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$753
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $64 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $53 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $30 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $14 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $41 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $18 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $31 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $37 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $35 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $38 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $31 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $49 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $19 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $54 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $42 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $48 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $26 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $63 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $21 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $6 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 307 +4.8% -5.2% 48% 22% -10.5%
≤30d 307 +4.8% -5.2% 48% 22% -10.5%
≤90d 307 +4.8% -5.2% 48% 22% -10.5%
all 307 +4.8% -5.2% 48% 22% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2381.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.2% 22% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -14.3% 15% -19.0%
15% -22.6% 9% -26.9%
20% -30.2% 7% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $88.52 · official $67.57 · 3500 history records