Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:49:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x9515…5d63
crypto · 87 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,702 -47%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,702 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,702
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses52 / 213
Open positions0
Markets (closed)265 / 87
History coverage10d
Avg bet$141
Trades / day335.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 265 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,202
7 days−$5,491
14 days−$5,702
30 days−$5,702
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$53 +348538%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$41 +35941%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$76 +324348%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$36 +55407%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$17 +19289%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$95 +196042%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$35 +141745%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$15 +6774%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$9 +2645%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $93 −$93 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$10 -4718%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$810
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $50 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)+136.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 225 +190.2% +162.6% 20% 16% -69.3%
≤30d 265 +161.6% +136.7% 20% 14% -42.8%
≤90d 265 +161.6% +136.7% 20% 14% -42.8%
all 265 +161.6% +136.7% 20% 14% -42.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover335.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +136.7% 14% -42.8%
10% ← realistic here +114.0% 13% -48.3%
15% +93.3% 13% -53.3%
20% +74.4% 13% -57.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records