Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:31:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x9512…a3d7
sports · 171 markets active 2h ago
8.0score
+$6,924 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,926 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$128
Realized+$6,926
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses101 / 68
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Est. fees paid−$271
Open positions1
Markets (closed)169 / 171
History coverage121d
Avg bet$294
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 1 History 169 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$825
30 days+$1,060
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $130 $128 −$2 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs Tundra Esports 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Alexander Maarten Jong Alexander Maarten Jong 53¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Diana Shnaider 51¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Masamichi Imamura Masamichi Imamura 45¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 04 $426 +$534 +125%
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling Jun 04 $521 +$332 +64%
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Masamichi Imamura Jun 04 $305 −$300 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $203 −$200 -99%
Heilbronn: Max Schoenhaus vs Alejandro Moro Canas Jun 03 $102 +$98 +97%
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming Dang Jun 03 $101 +$53 +52%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 03 $128 +$48 +38%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 03 $252 +$130 +51%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $796 +$330 +41%
Heilbronn: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Alexander Maarten Jong Jun 02 $203 −$200 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants May 27 $120 +$99 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 18 $26 +$26 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET May 18 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 18 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $101 +$50 +50%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $100 +$89 +90%
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies May 08 $153 +$142 +93%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08? May 08 $90 +$63 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 08 $104 −$100 -97%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs May 08 $101 −$100 -99%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? May 07 $200 +$95 +48%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Apr 25 $100 −$100 -100%
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondioli Apr 25 $100 −$100 -100%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machac Apr 25 $100 −$100 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? Apr 25 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Apr 25 $100 −$100 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? Apr 25 $100 −$100 -100%
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score Apr 25 $120 −$120 -100%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Apr 25 $200 −$200 -100%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs Apr 25 $200 −$200 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16? Apr 25 $254 −$254 -100%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs Apr 25 $322 −$322 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 25 $140 −$140 -100%
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Apr 25 $870 −$870 -100%
Barletta: Michele Ribecai vs Lukas Neumayer Apr 25 $999 −$999 -100%
Capitals vs. Devils Apr 25 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-02? Apr 25 $1,206 −$1,206 -100%
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Apr 25 $440 +$284 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Apr 15 $200 +$38 +19%
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry Apr 15 $120 +$107 +89%
Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye Apr 14 $139 +$102 +74%
Lightning vs. Bruins Apr 12 $200 +$200 +100%
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Apr 11 $623 +$223 +36%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev Apr 10 $500 +$323 +65%
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) Apr 06 $2,419 +$1,404 +58%
Houston Astros vs. Athletics Apr 06 $1,371 +$1,048 +76%
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Pa Apr 05 $3,346 −$1,948 -58%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoor Apr 05 $1,999 +$1,347 +67%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? Apr 05 $2,000 +$2,371 +119%
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Reg Apr 02 $100 +$55 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% +$2,417
other 30% +$4,347
crypto 2% +$160
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) AND Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Will Germany w BUY 20¢ $28 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $132 1h
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling SELL Karl Poling 69¢ $853 8d
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Iraq 44¢ $426 8d
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling BUY Karl Poling 41¢ $509 8d
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling BUY Karl Poling 42¢ $12 8d
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Masamichi Imamura BUY Masamichi Imamura 45¢ $305 8d
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska BUY Diana Shnaider 50¢ $102 9d
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska BUY Diana Shnaider 53¢ $101 9d
Heilbronn: Max Schoenhaus vs Alejandro Moro Canas BUY Alejandro Moro Canas 50¢ $102 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca BUY Jakub Mensik 48¢ $51 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca BUY Jakub Mensik 74¢ $101 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca BUY Jakub Mensik 70¢ $101 10d
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming Dang BUY Laura Mair 65¢ $101 10d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY GamerLegion 72¢ $128 10d
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? SELL No 100¢ $1,126 10d
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? BUY No 70¢ $796 10d
Heilbronn: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Alexander Maarten Jong BUY Alexander Maarten Jong 53¢ $203 11d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 54¢ $120 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 26d
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17? SELL Yes 100¢ $151 26d
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 66¢ $101 26d
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17? BUY No 52¢ $100 27d
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies SELL Colorado Rockies 96¢ $296 35d
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies BUY Colorado Rockies 49¢ $153 35d
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08? BUY No 58¢ $90 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $104 35d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-1.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 16 +18.2% +6.9% 69% 69% +18.7%
≤90d 124 +3.3% -6.5% 57% 56% -0.4%
all 169 +8.5% -1.8% 60% 59% +3.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.8% 59% +3.0%
10% -11.2% 56% -6.9%
15% -19.8% 54% -15.9%
20% -27.7% 49% -24.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $128.45 · official $155.54 · 361 history records