Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x950d…77d2
crypto · 1168 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$976 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$976 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$976
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses578 / 894
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1472 / 1168
History coverage41d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day82.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1472 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$617
7 days−$721
14 days−$721
30 days−$760
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 10? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1? Jun 13 $1 −$3 -281%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Praggnanandhaa R win on 2026-04-11 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-12 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -292%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$5 -621%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$279
weather 10% −$64
other 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $7 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $7 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $3 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-34.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 486 -66.4% -69.6% 15% 12% -62.3%
≤30d 583 -55.7% -59.9% 19% 15% -55.9%
≤90d 1472 -27.1% -34.0% 39% 31% -27.7%
all 1472 -27.1% -34.0% 39% 31% -27.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.0% 31% -27.7%
10% ← realistic here -40.3% 22% -34.6%
15% -46.1% 16% -40.9%
20% -51.4% 12% -46.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records